Showing 1 - 10 of 5,964
This paper analyzes the impacts of news shocks on macroeconomic volatility. Whereas in any purely forward-looking model …, such as the baseline New Keynesian model, anticipation amplifies volatility, we obtain ambiguous results when including a …) to provide numerical evidence that news shocks increase the volatility of key macroeconomic variables in the euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298830
intermediary data reveal economically large price pressures. A $100,000 inventory shock causes an average price pressure of 0 ….28% with a half-life of 0.92 days. Price pressure causes average transitory volatility in daily stock returns of 0.49%. Price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010303739
differences of opinion is left, and hence volatility is decreased. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324062
Whether fiscal policy is sustainable depends on a government's future revenue and expenditure streams, both of which are highly uncertain. In commodity-rich countries, this problem is intensified by unpredictable and volatile commodity prices. We show how spending rules for oil income and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325791
This paper analyzes the impacts of news shocks on macroeconomic volatility. Whereas anticipation amplifies volatility …) to provide numerical evidence that news shocks increase the volatility of key macroeconomic variables in the euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285357
money demand falls, while a positive goods productivity shock raises temporary output and velocity. The paper explains such … velocity volatility at both business cycle and long run frequencies. With filtered velocity turning negative, starting during … important for velocity during less stable times and the goods productivity shock more important during stable times. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288749
We show that exposure to country specific shocks has a positive and significant impact on GDP volatility. In particular … exporters’ GDP volatility than the volatility of demand in individual export market. We also show that geographical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326723
Did adoption of the gold standard exacerbate or diminish macroeconomic volatility? Supporters thought so, critics … shocks if it ties the hands of policy makers. But any decision to forsake exchange-rate flexibility might compromise shock … absorption in a world of real shocks and nominal stickiness. A simple model shows how a lack of flexibility can be discerned in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266408
demand and supply shocks. The results show that higher macroeconomic uncertainty, as measured by higher world industrial … production volatility, significantly increases the responsiveness of oil prices to oil shocks. This implies a lower price … volatility. Also the impact of oil shocks on economic activity appears to be significantly stronger in uncertain times. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288244
the associations of growth level, growth volatility, shocks, institutions, and macroeconomic fundamentals have changed in …, including global growth, global oil prices, and global financial volatility. After accounting for the effects global shocks, we … rate flexibility, education attainment, and lack of political polarization reduce the volatility of economic growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064688