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A discrete time model of financial markets is considered. It is assumed that the relative jumps of the risky security price are independent non-identically distributed random variables. In the focus of attention is the expected non-risky profit of the investor that arises when the jumps of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293743
Market analysts and central banks often use the implied volatility of FX options as an indicator of expected exchange … deviate the value of implied volatility from the exchange rate variability expected by the market. These biasing factors are … one month. However, implied volatility provides a biased estimate, and does not encompass the information included in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322417
There is much discussion about derivatives at central banks. The main focus is on questions about the impact of the growing use of derivative instruments on the stability of the financial markets and the effectiveness ofmonetary policy measures. Irrespective ofthe answers, the information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478816
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478817
-variance analysis of alternative investments has been hampered by the lack of a systematic treatment of volatility in these markets … underlying volatility. For example, in art markets, auction houses often give price guarantees to the seller that resemble put … the price index, allowing to treat the volatility parameter as the object of interest. The model can be estimated using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318789
Given global heterogeneity in climate-induced agricultural variability, Tanzania has the potential to substantially increase its maize exports to other countries. If global maize production is lower than usual due to supply shocks in major exporting regions, Tanzania may be able to export more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319906
Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and … structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence … that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260526
on some high frequency basis has spurred the research in the field of volatility modeling and forecasting into new … directions. First, the realized variance is a much better estimate of the latent volatility than the sum of the weighted daily … squared returns. As such it is better suited for comparing the out-of-sample performances of competing volatility models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263102
More financially developed countries show lower volatility of industrial output. Volatility is particularly reduced in … industries that are more financially dependent. Most of the reduction is in idiosyncratic volatility. Systematic volatility is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263333
In this paper, we study the dynamic interdependencies between high-frequency volatility, liquidity demand as well as …. Liquidity is causal for future volatility but not vice versa. Furthermore, trade sizes are negatively driven by past trading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263738