Market analysts and central banks often use the implied volatility of FX options as an indicator of expected exchange … deviate the value of implied volatility from the exchange rate variability expected by the market. These biasing factors are … one month. However, implied volatility provides a biased estimate, and does not encompass the information included in …

Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and … structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence … that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the …

on some high frequency basis has spurred the research in the field of volatility modeling and forecasting into new … directions. First, the realized variance is a much better estimate of the latent volatility than the sum of the weighted daily … squared returns. As such it is better suited for comparing the out-of-sample performances of competing volatility models …

More financially developed countries show lower volatility of industrial output. Volatility is particularly reduced in … industries that are more financially dependent. Most of the reduction is in idiosyncratic volatility. Systematic volatility is …

In this paper, we study the dynamic interdependencies between high-frequency volatility, liquidity demand as well as …. Liquidity is causal for future volatility but not vice versa. Furthermore, trade sizes are negatively driven by past trading …

This paper presents insights on U.S. business cycle volatility since 1867 de- rived from diffusion indices. We employ a … volatility across World War I, which is reversed after World War II. While we can generate evidence of postwar moderation …

A recent literature has pointed at potential negative effects of exchange rate volatility on innovation. In this paper … years 1987 - 2003. We find that the direct negative effect of volatility is pronounced in manufacturing sector but is … dominated by the indirect effect via the export channel. Services do not face any effects of volatility on R&D intensities …