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of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which forecasting … errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation measures are … of returns. Explicitly modeling this volatility risk is fundamental. We propose a dually asymmetric realized volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326350
-portfolio specific volatility indices called portfolio risk drivers. The dynamics of the risk drivers are modelled by multiplicative …. The proposed risk drivers capture the volatility structure of asset returns in different industry sectors. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295926
, volatility spillovers from the Chinese stock market to economic neighbours, a detailed comparison of Value-at-Risk estimates, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326135
Using firm-level data for Belgium, we study the validity of Hicks neutrality in several sectors that cover the spectrum of knowledge intensity. We find that Hicks neutrality is clearly not supported by the data in different sectors. The results are not sensitive to altering the specification of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506786
Accurate prediction of the frequency of extreme events is of primary importance in many financialapplications such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) analysis. We propose a semi-parametric method for VaRevaluation. The largest risks are modelled parametrically, while smaller risks are captured by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324710
This paper considers the problem of model uncertainty in the case of multi-asset volatility models and discusses the … management. Evaluation of volatility models is then considered and a simple Value-at-Risk (VaR) diagnostic test is proposed for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276219
This note is concerned with two recent agent-based models of speculative dynamics from the literature, one by Gaunersdorfer and Hommes and the other by He and Li. At short as well as long lags, both of them display an autocorrelation structure in absolute and squared returns that comes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296307
Measuring dependence in a multivariate time series is tantamount to modelling its dynamic structure in space and time. In the context of a multivariate normally distributed time series, the evolution of the covariance (or correlation) matrix over time describes this dynamic. A wide variety of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319194
This paper evaluates the impact of international reserves, terms of trade shocks and capital flows on the real exchange rate (REER). We observe that international reserves cushions the impact of TOT shocks on the REER, and that this effect is important for developing but not for industrial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322720
, volatility, and spikes. While price trends are important in the long term, volatility and spikes are more important in the short … volatility. An assessment of the costs of price volatility has shown that the existing literature follows a conventional marginal …. Measuring and estimating the cost of food price volatility should factor in ongoing processes such as economic growth and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323663