Showing 1 - 10 of 3,920
system stability. Accordingly, we empirically test volatility dynamics of the tenyear sovereign bond yields of the 2004 EU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267041
We use an information-theoretic approach to interpret Engle's (1982) and Bollerslev's (1986) GARCH model as a model for … may be generalized, if we use alternative measures of volatility. We choose one feasible alternative and derive a … generalized volatility model. Applying this model to some exemplary market indices, we are able to give some empirical evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299748
This paper investigates the forecasting performance of three popular variants of the non-linear GARCH models, namely VS-GARCH …, GJR-GARCH and Q-GARCH, with the symmetric GARCH(1,1) model as a benchmark. The application involves ten European stock … price indexes. Forecasts produced by each non-linear GARCH model and each index are evaluated using a common set of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335762
This paper employs multivariate GARCH models with a BEKK specification to show significant shock and volatility … markets from shock and volatility spillovers in mature markets is real. Although emerging Asian local bond market volatilities … are more determined by their own respective shocks and volatilities, in some markets the direct shock and volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010507534
This paper looks at fiscal sustainability and fiscal risks from a comprehensive, global perspective. It argues that the benefits of consolidation have to be re-assessed given that industrialised countries have entered uncharted waters with unsustainable public debt dynamics and enormous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606273
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014306476
The aim of this paper is to demonstrate how the change in actual and potential market risks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) during the two-year period 2007-2008 can be analyzed with the help of-analysis. In the empirical analysis, the average of the Lyapunov exponents for the dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321428
We study the sustainability of sovereign debt accumulation in 15 OECD countries using quarterly data from 1980 to 2010 with a focus on how and in what countries debt sustainability changed after the commencement of the Euro Convergence Criteria in 1997 as well as after the financial meltdown in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460534
Isobar surfaces, a method for describing the overall shape of multidimensional data, are estimated by nonparametric regression and used to evaluate the efficiency of selected markets based on returns of their stock market indices.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322194