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Suppose a fund manager uses predictors in changing port-folio allocations over time. How does predictability translate into portfolio decisions? To answer this question we derive a new model within the Bayesian framework, where managers are assumed to modulate the systematic risk in part by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604927
expected returns and betas. The numerical results of a Monte Carlo simulation show that in the CAPM slightly inefficient … the results suggest that the CAPM's pricing error is small when slightly inefficient, positively weighted proxies are used. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390622
We test whether asymmetric preferences for losses versus gains as in Ang, Chen, and Xing (2006) also affect the pricing of cash flow versus discount rate news as in Campbell and Vuolteenaho (2004). We construct a new four-fold beta decomposition, distinguishing cash flow and discount rate betas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325965
In a continuous time, arbitrage free, non-complete market with a zero bond, we find the intertemporal price for risk to equal the standard deviation of the discounted variance opti- mal martingale measure divided by the zero bond price. We show the Hedging Numeraire to equal the Market Portfolio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324061
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324093
Using bilateral data on international equity and bond flows, we find that the prediction of the International Capital Asset Pricing Model is partially met and that global equity markets might be more integrated than global bond markets. Moreover, over the turbulent 1998-2001 period characterised...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604724
Portfolio choice is usually modelled by von Neumann-Morgenstern utility. Risk-value models are more general and permit the derivation of risk-value efficient frontiers. A behaviorally based risk measure with an endogenous or exogenous benchmark is used to derive efficient portfolios and to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398109
Contrary to static mean-variance analysis, very few papers have dealt with dynamic mean-variance analysis. Here, the mean-variance efficient self-financing portfolio strategy is derived for n risky assets in discrete and continuous time. In the discrete setting, the resulting portfolio is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305021
The capital-asset-pricing model (CAPM) is one of the most popular methods of financial market analysis. But, evidence … of the poor empirical performance of the CAPM has accumulated in the literature. For example, based on their empirical … results regarding the relation between market Beta and average return, Fama and French (1996) conclude that the CAPM is no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295722
of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), allowing for a wide class of error distributions which include normality as a … is too restrictive when testing the CAPM. We also propose exact multivariate diagnostic checks (including tests for …In diesem Papier schlagen wir exakte likelihood-basierte Tests auf Mittelwert-Varianz- Effizienz im Rahmen des CAPM vor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295747