Showing 1 - 10 of 15,309
We suggest a theoretical basis for the comparative evaluation of forecasts. Instead of the general assumption that the data is generated from a stochastic model, we classify three stages of prediction experiments: pure non-stochastic prediction of given data, stochastic prediction of given data,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293709
This report examines whether Google search queries can be used to predict the present and the near future house prices in Finland. Compared to a simple benchmark model, Google searches improve the prediction of the present house price index by 7.5 % measured by mean absolute error. In addition,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037683
In the current competitive scenario, the banking industry must contend with multiple challenges tied to regulations … new strategies for sustainable growth. Banking institutions that can address these emerging challenges and opportunities … international banking institutions. Papers in this collection focus on the digital transformation of the banking industry and its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014323783
This Paper proposes a new forecasting method that exploits information from a large panel of time series. The method is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328558
We propose a new time series model aimed at forecasting crude oil prices. The proposed specification is an unobserved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293428
forecasting financial volatility. We use the auto-covariances of log increments of the multi-fractal process in order to estimate … ?scaling? approach. Our empirical estimates are used in out-of-sample forecasting of volatility for a number of important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295056
Bayesian forecasting of volatility. However, applicability of MLE is restricted to cases with a discrete distribution of … leads to gains in forecasting accuracy for some time series. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295106
forecasting of volatility. However, applicability of MLE is restricted to cases with a discrete distribution of volatility … leads to gains in forecasting accuracy for some time series. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295151
macroeconomic policy analysis and forecasting. By means of an empirical application we demonstrate that these models turn out to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295783
This paper gives a brief survey of forecasting with panel data. Starting with a simple error component regression and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295814