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Tse (1998) proposes a model which combines the fractionally integrated GARCH formulation of Baillie, Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996) with the asymmetric power ARCH specification of Ding, Granger and Engle (1993). This paper analyzes the applicability of a multivariate constant conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422185
-Gaussian dependency structures with a small number of parameters. In this paper we develop a novel adaptive estimation technique of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270704
(GMM) estimation are both suitable for MSM-t models, (ii) empirical panel forecasts of MSM-t models show an improvement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265243
characterized by volatility clustering and asymmetry. Also revealed as a stylized fact is Long memory or long range dependence in … portfolio (Bayer, Siemens and Volkswagen). Classical V aR estimation methodology such as exponential moving average (EMA) as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274140
We develop likelihood-based tests for autocorrelation and predictability in a first order non-Gaussian and noninvertible ARMA model. Tests based on a special case of the general model, referred to as an all-pass model, are also obtained. Data generated by an all-pass process are uncorrelated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500219
In this paper we want to discuss macroscopic and microscopic properties of financial markets. By analyzing quantitatively a database consisting of 13 minute per minute recorded financial time series, we identify some macroscopic statistical properties of the corresponding markets, with a special...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301759
Accurate prediction of the frequency of extreme events is of primary importance in many financialapplications such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) analysis. We propose a semi-parametric method for VaRevaluation. The largest risks are modelled parametrically, while smaller risks are captured by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324710
short- and long-range dependence. An iterative data-driven algorithm combines MLE and kernel estimation. Predictions combine …-range dependence has a major impact on statistical conclusions, such as confidence intervals for population quantities or point and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324055
Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimation procedure to cope with the documented difficulties of previous methodologies. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286258
We extend the fractionally integrated exponential GARCH (FIEGARCH) model for daily stock return data with long memory in return volatility of Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996) by introducing a possible volatility-in-mean effect. To avoid that the long memory property of volatility carries over to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290338