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In recent years, especially in the aftermath of the global financial meltdown, the performance of South Asia capital markets has attracted the attention of the researchers and investors across the globe. The resilient shown provides the impetus to examine the efficient market hypothesis in these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011938297
process, which is of significant relevance for emerging markets in particular. The analysis is based on autocorrelation tests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300506
obtain excess returns from both autocorrelation- and moving average-based trading strategies compared to a buy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299929
In this paper sequential monitoring schemes to detect nonparametric drifts are studied for the random walk case. The procedure is based on a kernel smoother. As a by-product we obtain the asymptotics of the Nadaraya-Watson estimator and its associated sequential partial sum process under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296634
Testing for unit roots has been among the most heavily researched topics in Econometrics for the last quarter of a century. Much less researched is the equally important issue of the appropriate transformation if any of the variable of interest which should preceed any such testing. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316510
We derive the probability limit of the standard Dickey-Fuller-test in the context of an exponential random walk. This result might be useful in interpreting tests for unit roots when the test is inadvertantly applied to the levels of the data when the true random walk is in the logs.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316528
The article tests for a random walk in European equity style indexes. After briefly introducing the efficient market hypothesis, equity styles in general and the used statistical techniques (Variance Ratio Test and modified Rescaled Range Test) it is shown that a random walk in European equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263473
We first report that one-minute returns on TOPIX have exhibited significant autocorrelation at five-minute intervals … jump in excess of a predetermined band seem to be the source of this autocorrelation, since these have been updated at five …-minute intervals since August 1998. Individual stock returns also exhibit fifth-order autocorrelation, but this disappears when the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332467
To analyze whether stock-market prices follow a random walk, the algebraic sign of their returns has been compared with a coin toss, which is a prominent example for a Bernoulli trial with equiprobable outcomes. Like coin tosses, signed returns lend themselves for a simple runs test for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014476407
run. Thus, the estimation period shows that with increasing forecasting horizon predictability of simple real returns of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297288