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extent to which inflation expectations are formed by the announced targets. As the credibility of the central bank increases … target. Credibility enables expectation to be formed in a forward-looking way by weakening its connection with the past. This … study aims to contribute to the literature concerning the effects of credibility on monetary policy. For this purpose, using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014558525
This paper first shows that the forecast error incurred when assuming that future inflation will be equal to the inflation target announced by the central bank is typically at least as small and often smaller than forecast errors of model-based and published inflation forecasts. It then shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604610
-)establish credibility, optimal monetary policy under discretion is shown to set higher interest rates today if average inflation exceeded … term in the central bank's optimal instrument rule, which we refer to as the credibility loss. Augmenting a standard Taylor … seven central banks and that this influence is economically meaningful. A deteroriation in credibility forces central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294449
This paper takes up the issue of the flexibility of inflation targeting regimes, with the specific goal of determining whether the monetary policy of the Bank of England, which has a formal inflation target, has been any less flexible than that of the Federal Reserve, which does not have such a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323567
international dimension, as higher world inflation is positively correlated with inflation targets. Rapidly growing countries … macroeconomic environment. We find that central bank credibility is negatively associated with the level of inflation target …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322261
imperfect credibility and weak anchoring of long-term expectations. Within a medium-scale DSGE model, we introduce through a … credibility could amount to 0.25 pp of output gap standard deviation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605111
We analyse the interaction between private agents? uncertainty about inflation target and the central bank's data uncertainty. In our model, private agents update their perceived inflation target and the central bank estimates unobservable economic shocks as well as the perceived inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295855
This paper shows that the credibility gain from permanently committing to a fixed exchange rate by joining the European … credibility a pegged exchange rate regime yields a lower loss compared to an inflation targeting policy, even if this policy … ranking would be reversed in a fullcredibility environment. There exists an initial stock of credibility that must be achieved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604562
This paper investigates the role that imperfect knowledge about the structure of the economy plays in the formation of expectations, macroeconomic dynamics, and the efficient formulation of monetary policy. Economic agents rely on an adaptive learning technology to form expectations and to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298276
The current study examines the relationship between the world oil price and aggregate demand in a developing country …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294003