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. Auch in Deutschland lassen die allmähliche Besserung des internationalen konjunkturellen Umfelds und auch die Meldungen der …) steigen; im nächsten Jahr ist das Minus auf 70 Mrd. q (3,2% des BIP) zu veranschlagen. Deutschland verfehlt damit in beiden …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011692036
This paper establishes stylized facts about the cyclicality of real consumer wages and real producer wages in Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302616
This paper establishes stylized facts about the cyclicality of real consumer wages and real producer wages in Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274586
investment. The public financing deficit is likely to fall from 2.1 percent relative to GDP in 2023 to 0.8 percent in 2025 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014506985
structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence … that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the … in Germany reflects good economic and monetary policy or merely ?good luck?. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260526
The paper studies the interaction between cyclical uncertainty and investment in a stochastic real option framework … of the link between cyclical uncertainty and investment is quantified using simulations of the model. The chief …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271966
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014306477
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014306491
Business cycles reflect changes over time in the amount of trade between individuals. In this paper we show that incorporating explicitly intra-temporal gains from trade between individuals into a macroeconomic model can provide new insight into the potential mechanisms driving economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010307846
I present empirical results on the contribution of three key drivers of inflation in Denmark: an inflation trend anchored by inflation expectations; the Danish business cycle; and an energy price cycle. All three drivers contribute significantly to the development of inflation and explain most of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014563915