Showing 1 - 10 of 11,524
We estimate the short run effects of Brexit border disruption on the UK economy. We estimate a structural VAR for the UK where Brexit effects are identified by the dates of Brexit events, the referendum and the exit from the single market. We find evidence of short run effects of Brexit:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480601
This paper estimates the effects of exogenous fiscal policy shocks in Spain in a VAR framework. Government expenditure … of fiscal policy in Spain since the mid-nineties points to the conclusion that the consolidation process does not seem to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604693
The empirical literature using vector autoregressive models to assess the effects of fiscal policy shocks strongly disagrees on even the qualitative response of key macroeconomic variables to government spending and tax shocks. We provide new evidence for the U.S. over the period 1955-2006. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604923
A fiscal shock due to a shift in taxes or in government spending will, at some point in time, constrain the future path … the effects of fiscal shocks, keeping track of the debt dynamics that arise following a fiscal shock and allowing for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280860
We investigate the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy using a Bayesian Structural Vector Autoregression approach. We build on a recursive identification scheme, but we: (i) include the feedback from government debt (ii); look at the impact on the composition of output; (iii) assess the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605037
government budget, as social insurance in Spain is not actuarially fair. Finally, we also assess the impact of a decline in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262513
consumption response. We investigate in a SVAR whether anticipation of the fiscal shock reverses the sign of this dynamic response … the US that consumption falls in reaction to an expenditure shock once the model allows for one-period-ahead anticipation … of this shock. Modelling anticipation of fiscal shocks is thus crucial to correctly capture their macroeconomic effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295850
This paper develops a 9-dimensional SVAR to investigate the sources of the U.S. business cycle. We extend the standard set of identified shocks to include unexpected changes in commodity prices. Our main result is that commodity price shocks are a very important driving force of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390656
, characterise somehow the monetary policy shock and then plot impulse responses. In this paper I attempt to do this exercise with …’ strategy applied recently by several authors. I also propose another approach, namely, imposing restrictions on implied shock ….1-0.15% lower consumer prices; (4) the impact on prices is slower than on output; it reaches its bottom 4-6 years after the shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322447
This paper studies regime dependence in the effects of monetary policy shocks for the U.S. using a threshold vector autoregressive model. In a high inflation regime the standard results from the literature obtain. In a low inflation regime output shows no significant response to monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286403