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This article contributes to the literature on macroeconomic announcements and their impact on asset prices by investigating how the 15-second Xetra DAX returns reflect the monthly announcements of the two best known business cycle forecasts for Germany, i.e. the ifo Business Climate Index and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298727
The prompt availability of information on the current state of the economy in real-time is required for prediction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013366013
This paper focuses on the predictive validity of the upper secondary grade point average (GPA), when used as selection instrument to higher education. The purpose of the paper is to find out if the predictive strength of the GPA is affected by time, here measured as the time that has passed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321150
Pricing of cap insurance contracts is considered for political mortgage rates. A simple stochastic process for mortgage rates is proposed. The process is based on renewal processes for modelling the length of periods with downward and upward trend respectively. Prices are calculated by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324057
In recent years, numerous volatility-based derivative products have been engineered. This has led to interest in constructing conditional predictive densities and confidence intervals for integrated volatility. In this paper, we propose nonparametric estimators of the aforementioned quantities,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282862
In recent years, numerous volatility-based derivative products have been engineered. This has led to interest in constructing conditional predictive densities and confidence intervals for integrated volatility. In this paper, we propose nonparametric kernel estimators of the aforementioned...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282869
Cash-rich bidders in UK have better announcement abnormal returns than cash-poor ones during 1984-2007, contrasting previous findings in the US. The positive cash reserve effect is mainly from bidders of high long-run growth or those with non-trivial institutional holdings. Moreover, cash-rich...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010409434
A cash-rich company is less likely to be a bidder during 1994-2008 in the US, contrasting the findings based on earlier sample period. This is mainly due to the companies with high residual market-to-book ratios (i.e. the residual of the actual market-to-book ratio regressed on measures of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010409445
We consider a carbon emissions tax announced today, but implemented after a known time-lag. Before implementation, the announcement induces higher emissions than without intervention. In welfare terms, this adverse announcement effect could more than outweigh the gain after tax implementation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753318
similar data, Hamilton (1997) takes advantage of forecast errors in the Treasury balance to compute the elasticity of the … deviations of the federal funds rate from target as forecast errors in the reserve need (see Taylor, 2000). By analyzing the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318605