Showing 1 - 10 of 5,741
Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and … structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence … that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260526
In this paper we analyze how the availability of credit influences the relationship between government size as a proxy for fiscal stabilization policy and the amplitude of business cycle fluctuations in a sample of advanced OECD countries. Interpreting relatively low loan-tovalue ratios as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294478
, India, Brazil, and South Africa (CIBS). Furthermore, we compare the level of financial stability, and the composition and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273459
Managing capital flows is the key policy challenge for emerging economies like India in the aftermath of the crisis. In … contrast to other emerging markets who are levying capital controls, India's macro-monetary framework is distinguished by … significant restrictions that help manage inflows. Against this context, the paper characterizes India's capital account …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807663
This paper presents insights on U.S. business cycle volatility since 1867 de- rived from diffusion indices. We employ a … volatility across World War I, which is reversed after World War II. While we can generate evidence of postwar moderation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263751
error term variance (reduced impulses). In Germany the decline output volatility is due to a decline in the persistence of …We analyse the decline in output volatility in Germany. A lower level of variance in an autoregressive model of output … sudden break. The evolution of Germany's short-term real interest rate volatility coincides with the change of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274489
States of the European Union, to test if the same short-run increase in cyclical volatility arising from financial … mature market economies, reduces cyclical volatility both in the short and in the long run. Weak indications are found that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295650
This paper analyzes the impacts of news shocks on macroeconomic volatility. Whereas in any purely forward-looking model …, such as the baseline New Keynesian model, anticipation amplifies volatility, we obtain ambiguous results when including a …) to provide numerical evidence that news shocks increase the volatility of key macroeconomic variables in the euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298830
This paper analyzes the impacts of news shocks on macroeconomic volatility. Whereas anticipation amplifies volatility …) to provide numerical evidence that news shocks increase the volatility of key macroeconomic variables in the euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285357
velocity volatility at both business cycle and long run frequencies. With filtered velocity turning negative, starting during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288749