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to meet their financial obligations. It is based on classical financial-statement approach, a direct inclusion of risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269950
is a new risk factor for enterprises taking part in this system. In this paper, we analyze how risk emerging from … loss account accounting for uncertainties and dependencies. Consequently, this model provides a basis for risk assessment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271411
can undertake an active portfolio management strategy by investing in both risk-free and risky assets. Using a two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276146
Fiktion notwendig ist, aber eine Fiktion bleibt. Aber was heisst es für die (ökonomische) Theorie der Zukunftsentscheidungen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381300
We propose a method to test a prediction of the distribution of a stochastic process. In a non-Bayesian non-parametric setting, a predicted distribution is tested using a realization of the stochastic process. A test associates a set of realizations for each predicted distribution, on which the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272320
Expected Utility theory is not only applied to individual choices but also to ethical decisions, e.g. in cost … EU theory is able to deal with 'catastrophic risks', i.e. risks of high, but very unlikely losses, in an ethically … appealing way. In this paper we show that this is not the case. Rather, if in the framework of EU theory a plausible level of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301695
The ex-ante evaluation of policies using structural econometric models is based on estimated parameters as a stand-in for the truth. This practice ignores uncertainty in the counterfactual policy predictions of the model. We develop a generic approach that deals with parametric uncertainty using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012603363
The situation of a limited availability of historical data is frequently encountered in portfolio risk estimation …, especially in credit risk estimation. This makes it, for example, difficult to find temporal structures with statistical … into account. The modelling framework is based on multivariate elliptical processes which model portfolio risk via sub …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295926
In this paper, we present a new approach to measure the returns of private equity investments based on a stochastic model of the dynamics of a private equity fund. Our stochastic model of a private equity fund consists of two independent stages: the stochastic model of the capital drawdowns and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305730
main aim is to minimize this shortfall risk by making use of results from bsde theory. … possible at time T if the initial capital is not sufficient to hedge xc. This introduces a new risk into the market and our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324097