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crisis started in October 2009. We perform a bivariate test for contagion that is based on an approach proposed by Forbes and … and industrialized countries. Our results indicate that there were periods of contagion for CDS markets during the Greek … crash and their conclusion of no contagion, only interdependence. Especially for European countries we would instead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316042
When a sovereign faces the risk of debt default, it may be tempted to expropriate the private sector. This may be one reason why international investment in private companies has to take into account the sovereign risk. But the likelihood of sovereign risk transferring to corporates and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333592
In this paper we develop empirical measures for the strength of spillover effects. Modifying and extending the … transmission from or to sovereigns and banks are aggregated as a Contagion index (CI). This index is disentangled into four … components, the average potential spillover: i) amongst sovereigns, ii) amongst banks, iii) from sovereigns to banks, and iv …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010311789
This paper investigates contagion between bank risk and sovereign risk in Europe over the period 2006-2011. Since this … spillovers. We define contagion as excess correlation, i.e. correlation between banks and sovereigns over and above what is … of contagion by analyzing bank-specific as well as country-specific variables and their interaction. We provide empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506752
We examine what are common factors that determine systematic credit risk and estimate and interpret the common risk factors. We also compare the contributions of common factors in explaining the changes of credit default swap (CDS) spreads during the pre-crisis, crisis and post-crisis period....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318764
of individual bond markets in recent years has been impressive, the threat of financial contagion to emerging Asian bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010507534
CDS spreads became more prone to spillover effects during the financial crisis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286429
This paper studies the relative pricing of euro area sovereign CDS and the underlying government bonds. Our sample comprises weekly CDS and bond spreads of ten euro area countries for the period from January 2006 to June 2010. We first compare the determinants of CDS spreads and bond spreads and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605317
As the global banking crisis intensified in the fall of 2008, governments announced comprehensive rescue packages for financial institutions. In this paper, we put the joint response of euro area bank and sovereign CDS premia under the microscope. We find that the bank rescue packages led to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605173
This paper decomposes the explained part of the CDS spread changes of 31 listed euro area banks according to various risk drivers. The choice of the credit risk drivers is inspired by the Merton (1974) model. Individual CDS liquidity and other market and business variables are identified to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506710