fragmentation and conflict on international trafficking through internal and international displacements. …

We construct a dynamic theory of civil conflict hinging on inter-ethnic trust and trade. The model economy is … beliefs on the average propensity to trade of the other group. Since confict disrupts trade, the onset of a conflict signals … after each conflict episode. Third, accidental conflicts that do not reflect economic fundamentals can lead to a permanent …

, institutions can work on ethnic conflict by either accommodating (consociationalists) or denying (integrationists) ethnicity in … mostly inconclusive. The following questions remain open: a) Is politicized ethnicity really a conflict risk? b) What impact … does the whole menu (not just single institutions) have? and c) How are effects conditioned by the exact nature of conflict …

Ethno-Linguistic Affinity, I show that civil conflict in Africa is likely to spill over between contiguous ethno …