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Forecasting random walks under drift instability
Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem; Pick, Andreas - 2008
This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different … estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or … more structural breaks. It is shown that compared to using forecasts based on a single estimation window, averaging over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276222
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Common Risk Factors and the Macroeconomy: New Evidence from the Japanese Stock Market
Bretschger, Lucas; Lechthaler, Filippo - 2012
Using new data on returns and risk factors the paper considers the stock performance on the Japanese market, which is the second largest in the world and operates under unique macroeconomic conditions. We find that the CAPM model is not an adequate approach for the Japanese market. The Carhart...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753224
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Learning, structural instability and present value calculations
Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem; Pettenuzzo, Davide; … - 2006
Present value calculations require predictions of cash flows both at near and distant future points in time. Such predictions are generally surrounded by considerable uncertainty and may critically depend on assumptions about parameter values as well as the form and stability of the data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295816
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Testing for structural breaks in dynamic factor models
Breitung, Jörg; Eickmeier, Sandra - 2009
structural breaks in the factor loadings for the specification and estimation of factor models based on principal components and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298752
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An examination of Malaysia's structural breaks vis-à-vis Japan and the USA
Murad, Md. Wahid; Shoeb-Ur-Rahman, Muhammad; Alam, Mahmudul - In: Pakistan Journal of Commerce and Social Sciences (PJCSS) 6 (2012) 2, pp. 231-241
two trading partners, namely the USA and Japan in 1970s, 1980s, 1990s and 2000s. It also discusses the implications of … USA and Malaysia does not have any structural break both in respect of GNI and GDP. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011938312
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How Stable Are Monetary Models of the Dollar-Euro Exchange Rate? - A Time-varying Coefficient Approach
Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Kühl, Michael - 2009
(the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12. Applying a novel time-varying coefficient estimation approach, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265822
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How stable are monetary models of the Dollar-Euro exchange rate? A time-varying coefficient approach
Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Kühl, Michael - 2009
(the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12. Applying a novel time-varying coefficient estimation approach, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271135
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Learning, structural instability and present value calculations
Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem; Pettenuzzo, Davide; … - 2006
Present value calculations require predictions of cash flows both at near and distant future points in time. Such predictions are generally surrounded by considerable uncertainty and may critically depend on assumptions about parameter values as well as the form and stability of the data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276173
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International Labour Force Participation Rates by Gender: Unit Root or Structural Breaks?
Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin; Balcilar, Mehmet; Tansel, Aysit - 2011
in the total, female and male labour force participation rates (LFPR) for Australia, Canada and the USA. We extend the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500194
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International Labour Force Participation Rates by Gender: Unit Root or Structural Breaks?
Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin; Balcilar, Mehmet; Tansel, Aysit - 2011
in the total, female and male labour force participation rates (LFPR) for Australia, Canada and the USA. We extend the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320532