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Both global imbalances and financial market (de-)regulation feature prominently among the potential causes of the … investigate the relationship between financial market regulation and current account balances, an area for which limited empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010435737
This paper examines two competing approaches for calculating current account benchmarks, i.e. the external sustainability approach á la Lane and Milesi-Ferretti (LM) versus the structural current accounts literature (SCA) based on panel econometric techniques. The aim is to gauge the medium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605041
Global financial integration has been associated with divergent patterns of real convergence and the current account in emerging markets. While countries in emerging Asia have been running sizeable current account surpluses, countries in emerging Europe have been facing large current account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606240
Although the United States and the European Union were both seriously impacted by the financial crisis of 2007, the resulting policy debates and regulatory responses have differed considerably on the two sides of the Atlantic. In this paper the authors examine the debates on the problem posed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317335
This paper reviews three different concepts of equilibrium exchange rates that are widely used in policy analysis and constitute the backbone of the IMF CGER assessment: the Macroeconomic Balance, the External Sustainability and the reduced form approaches. We raise a number of econometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605197
In this paper, we take a systematic look at global imbalances. First, we provide a definition of the phenomenon, and relate global imbalances to widening external positions of systemically important economies that reflect distortions or entail risks for the global economy. Second, we provide an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606230
This paper examines the statistical nature of the persistency of current account balances and its determinants. With the assumption that stationary current account series ensures the long-run budget constraint while countries may experience "local non-stationarity" in current account balances,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397237
the presence of borrowing and lending constraints on that bond. In a US versus the rest of the world (RoW) scenario, we … consumption risk relative to the rest of the world, and therefore decreases its motives for precautionary asset holdings relative … to the rest of the world. As a result of these asymmetric shifts in countries' barriers to capital mobility, the US runs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322494
This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298059
This paper discusses Bayesian model averaging (BMA) in Stochastic Frontier Analysis and investigates inference sensitivity to prior assumptions made about the scale parameter of (in)efficiency. We turn our attention to the "standard" prior specifications for the popular normal-half-normal and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696276