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The Contribution of Foreign Borrowing to the New Zealand Economy
Makin, Anthony; Zhang, Wei; Scobie, Grant - 2008
New Zealand's unrelenting current account deficits, its trade performance and high external debt level remain central to ongoing economic policy debates. However, what has been overlooked in the discussion of New Zealand's economic relations with its trading partners is the positive contribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115608
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Convergence in GDP per Capita in the Euro Area and the EU at the Time of COVID-19
Licchetta, Mirko; Mattozzi, Giovanni - In: Intereconomics 58 (2023) 1, pp. 43-51
This paper investigates determinants of convergence in GDP per capita in the euro area and the EU between 1995 and 2021. It finds that the COVID-19 crisis temporarily slowed convergence but the estimated negative impact is significantly smaller than during the global financial crisis. Diverging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014334683
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As causas imediatas do crescimento da renda, da redução da desigualdade e da queda da extrema pobreza na Bahia, no Nordeste e no Brasil entre 2003 e 2011
de Souza, Pedro H. G. F. - 2013
poverty reduction in five different geographic regions - Brazil, the Northeastern region, the state of Bahia, the metropolitan … the Programa Bolsa Família. Thus, both growth and redistribution contributed decisively to poverty reduction in Brazil and …-term prospects for pro-poor growth and poverty reduction in Brazil will hinge on a more equitable labor market in the Northeastern …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330438
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Aumento do acesso à Internet em banda larga no Brasil e sua possível relação com o crescimento econômico: Uma análise de dados em painel
Macedo, Hildebrando Rodrigues; de Carvalho, Alexandre … - 2010
access density in Brazil and the GDP and GDP per capita growth. Broadband access densities, GDP, GDP per capita and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330478
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Dívida pública e passivo externo: Onde está a ameaça?
Gentil, Denise Lobato; Araúja, Victor Leonardo de - 2012
This work aims to analyze if the trajectory and composition of net and gross, public debt and external liabilities can hinder the growth of Brazilian GDP. The work concludes that fiscal indicators are more comfortable that external indicators. The net public debt is falling and less linked to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330718
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Aumento da penetração do serviço de acesso à Internet em banda larga e seu possível impacto econômico: Análise através de sistema de equações simultâneas de oferta e demanda...
Macedo, Hildebrando Rodrigues; de Carvalho, Alexandre … - 2010
impact on the GDP and GDP per capita, resulted of the increase in the broadband internet access diffusion in Brazil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330950
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A look into the factor model black box: publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP
Banbura, Marta; Rünstler, Gerhard - 2007
We derive forecast weights and uncertainty measures for assessing the role of individual series in a dynamic factor model (DFM) to forecast euro area GDP from monthly indicators. The use of the Kalman filter allows us to deal with publication lags when calculating the above measures. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604797
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Flow of conjunctural information and forecast of euro area economic activity
Drechsel, Katja; Maurin, Laurent - 2008
Euro area GDP and components are nowcast and forecast one quarter ahead. Based on a dataset of 163 series comprising the relevant monthly indicators, simple bridge equations with one explanatory variable are estimated for each. The individual forecasts generated by each equation are then pooled,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604971
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Maximum likelihood estimation of factor models on data sets with arbitrary pattern of missing data
Bańbura, Marta; Modugno, Michele - 2010
In this paper we propose a methodology to estimate a dynamic factor model on data sets with an arbitrary pattern of missing data. We modify the Expectation Maximisation (EM) algorithm as proposed for a dynamic factor model by Watson and Engle (1983) to the case with general pattern of missing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605235
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On the Design of Data Sets for Forecasting with Dynamic Factor Models
Rünstler, Gerhard - 2010
Forecasts from dynamic factor models potentially benefit from refining the data set by eliminating uninformative series. The paper proposes to use forecast weights as provided by the factor model itself for this purpose. Monte Carlo simulations and an empirical application to forecasting euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435303