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Convergence in GDP per Capita in the Euro Area and the EU at the Time of COVID-19

Licchetta, Mirko; Mattozzi, Giovanni - In: Intereconomics 58 (2023) 1, pp. 43-51

This paper investigates determinants of convergence in GDP per capita in the euro area and the EU between 1995 and 2021. It finds that the COVID-19 crisis temporarily slowed convergence but the estimated negative impact is significantly smaller than during the global financial crisis. Diverging...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014334683

The Contribution of Foreign Borrowing to the New Zealand Economy

Makin, Anthony; Zhang, Wei; Scobie, Grant - 2008

New Zealand's unrelenting current account deficits, its trade performance and high external debt level remain central to ongoing economic policy debates. However, what has been overlooked in the discussion of New Zealand's economic relations with its trading partners is the positive contribution...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115608

As causas imediatas do crescimento da renda, da redução da desigualdade e da queda da extrema pobreza na Bahia, no Nordeste e no Brasil entre 2003 e 2011

de Souza, Pedro H. G. F. - 2013

poverty reduction in five different geographic regions - Brazil, the Northeastern region, the state of Bahia, the metropolitan … the Programa Bolsa Família. Thus, both growth and redistribution contributed decisively to poverty reduction in Brazil and …-term prospects for pro-poor growth and poverty reduction in Brazil will hinge on a more equitable labor market in the Northeastern …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330438

Aumento do acesso à Internet em banda larga no Brasil e sua possível relação com o crescimento econômico: Uma análise de dados em painel

Macedo, Hildebrando Rodrigues; de Carvalho, Alexandre … - 2010

access density in Brazil and the GDP and GDP per capita growth. Broadband access densities, GDP, GDP per capita and the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330478

Dívida pública e passivo externo: Onde está a ameaça?

Gentil, Denise Lobato; Araúja, Victor Leonardo de - 2012

This work aims to analyze if the trajectory and composition of net and gross, public debt and external liabilities can hinder the growth of Brazilian GDP. The work concludes that fiscal indicators are more comfortable that external indicators. The net public debt is falling and less linked to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330718

Aumento da penetração do serviço de acesso à Internet em banda larga e seu possível impacto econômico: Análise através de sistema de equações simultâneas de oferta e demanda

Macedo, Hildebrando Rodrigues; de Carvalho, Alexandre … - 2010

impact on the GDP and GDP per capita, resulted of the increase in the broadband internet access diffusion in Brazil …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330950

Inflationsprognosen für den Euro-Raum: wie gut sind P*-Modelle?

Gottschalk, Jan; Bröck, Susanne - In: Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung 69 (2000) 1, pp. 69-89

Dieser Beitrag diskutiert die Grundlagen des P*-Ansatzes und vergleicht seine Prognoseleistung mit derjenigen nicht-monetärer Inflationsindikatoren für den Euro-Raum. Die Relevanz der Quantitätstheorie, die Stabilität der Geldnachfrage und die Rolle von Geldmengen im Transmissionsmechanismus...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377457

On the Design of Data Sets for Forecasting with Dynamic Factor Models

Rünstler, Gerhard - 2010

Forecasts from dynamic factor models potentially benefit from refining the data set by eliminating uninformative series. The paper proposes to use forecast weights as provided by the factor model itself for this purpose. Monte Carlo simulations and an empirical application to forecasting euro...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435303

Eignung von Frühindikatoren für die Prognose des Produktionszuwachses in der Welt und in der Gruppe der Entwicklungs- und Schwellenländer: Gutachten im Auftrag der KfW Bankengruppe

Drechsel, Katja; Giesen, Sebastian; Holtemöller, Oliver; … - 2013

Das Gutachten untersucht, ob die IWF-Prognosen für den Zuwachs des Bruttoinlandsprodukts in der Welt und in der Gruppe der Entwicklungs- und Schwellenländer mithilfe von gängigen Frühindikatoren verbessert werden können. Dabei zeigt sich, dass die Prognosegüte der IWF-Prognosen mit...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489813

Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets – A pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise

Barhoumi, K.; Benk, S.; Cristadoro, R.; Den Reijer, A.; … - 2008

This paper evaluates different models for the short-term forecasting of real GDP growth in ten selected European countries and the euro area as a whole. Purely quarterly models are compared with models designed to exploit early releases of monthly indicators for the nowcast and forecast of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506654