Showing 1 - 10 of 7,998
This paper investigates the forecasting performance of three popular variants of the non-linear GARCH models, namely VS-GARCH …, GJR-GARCH and Q-GARCH, with the symmetric GARCH(1,1) model as a benchmark. The application involves ten European stock … price indexes. Forecasts produced by each non-linear GARCH model and each index are evaluated using a common set of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335762
ARCH modelling framework of Engle (1982) and its GARCH generalization of Bollerslev (1986) gave a huge impetus to … describe the most typical features of capital markets like volatility clustering, excess kurtosis and fat tails. As empirical … evidence shows asymmetry is also a prominent feature of stock market returns volatility. The reaction of risk if stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270556
densities and their parametric competitors within different generalized GARCH models such as APARCH and GJR-GARCH. …Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) processes have become very popular as models for … financial return data because they are able to capture volatility clustering as well as leptokurtic unconditional distributions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299994
In this paper we examine the issue of asymmetry in the return and volatility spillover effects from the US equity … market into the Canadian and Mexican equity markets. We model the conditional volatility of the returns in each of the three … considerably from those for Mexico. In particular, the empirical results indicate that volatility spillover effects, but not return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295295
We investigate the predictability of both volatility and volume for a large sample of Japanese stocks. The particular … multifractal model) dominate over GARCH and ARMA models. However, while FIGARCH and ARFIMA also have quite a number of cases with … practically always improves upon the na?ve forecast provided by historical volatility. As a somewhat surprising result, we also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294979
We investigate the predictability of both volatility and volume for a large sample of Japanese stocks. The particular … multifractal models) dominate over GARCH and ARMA models. However, while FIGARCH and ARFIMA also have a number of cases with … practically always improves upon the na?ve forecast provided by historical volatility. As a somewhat surprising result, we also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295136
In this paper, we study the dynamic interdependencies between high-frequency volatility, liquidity demand as well as …. Liquidity is causal for future volatility but not vice versa. Furthermore, trade sizes are negatively driven by past trading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263738
We use an information-theoretic approach to interpret Engle's (1982) and Bollerslev's (1986) GARCH model as a model for … may be generalized, if we use alternative measures of volatility. We choose one feasible alternative and derive a … generalized volatility model. Applying this model to some exemplary market indices, we are able to give some empirical evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299748
Despite the fact that there is a substantial literature on the analysis of volatility spillovers between stock returns … and domestic exchange rates, surprisingly, little empirical research has examined volatility spillovers between oil prices … and emerging economies, where a clear gap of research have been found regarding to the BRIC financial markets and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010306930
We examine the performance of volatility models that incorporate features such as long (short) memory, regime …-t). Second, we perform a comprehensive panel forecasting analysis of the MSM models as well as other competing volatility models … of the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) legacy. Our cross-sections consist of all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265243