Showing 1 - 10 of 18,236
We study how credit supply shocks in the US, the euro area and Japan are transmitted to other economies. We use the recently-developed GVAR approach to model financial variables jointly with macroeconomic variables in 33 countries for the period 1983-2009. We experiment with inter-country links...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010307706
that this will lead to a dynamic factor model with the dominant unit acting as the factor. The problems of estimation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276215
that this will lead to a dynamic factor model with the dominant unit acting as the factor. The problems of estimation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276258
that this will lead to a dynamic factor model with the dominant unit acting as the factor. The problems of estimation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605044
This paper puts forward a global macro model comprising 43 countries and covering the period from Q1 1995 to Q4 2011. Our regional focus is on countries in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE) and the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). Applying a global VAR (GVAR) model, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370102
volatility of aid on economic growth, controlling for the level of aid. A four-year panel analysis is conducted encompassing 155 … countries over the period 1966-2001. We find that once the volatility of aid is controlled for, aid has a positive impact on … economic growth. Correspondingly, volatility of aid flows is found to be negatively related to growth. We found no significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325781
emergence of large economic players, like China, is likely to have weakened the role of the U.S. economy as a driver of global … to the rest of the world tends to fluctuate over time but remains large overall. Second, although the size of the spill … persistent. Actually, the increasing economic integration at the world level is likely to have fostered second-round and third …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605080
SVAR models that include a single world price (such as the terms-of-trade) predict that world shocks explain a small … multiple commodity prices transmit world disturbances. Estimates on a panel of 138 countries over the period 1960-2015 indicate … that world shocks explain on average 33 percent of output fluctuations in individual economies. This figure doubles when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011786396
What is the relationship between economic growth and its volatility? Does political instability affect growth directly … or indirectly, through volatility? This paper tries to answer such questions using a power-ARCH framework with annual … legislative changes) has an indirect (through volatility) negative impact. We also find preliminary support for the idea that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268236
In this paper we present simulations of economic performance of the Polish economy based on a quarterly econometric model. The model consists of 22 stochastic equations, which link the financial market with the real economy. The purpose of the research is to present effects of changes to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277058