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We test for sustainability of Turkey's current account position between 1992 and 2007 using the intertemporal solvency … tests to determine linkages between exports and imports+ in Turkey. Using the Johansen test we find no cointegration and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807191
The Turkish current account has been exploding in the last few years leading to concerns of a crisis. One of the primary factors identified in the rising deficits is the appreciating lira. In addition, income elasticity of exports and imports can also shed light on continuing trade deficits. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807199
This paper examines the statistical nature of the persistency of current account balances and its determinants. With the assumption that stationary current account series ensures the long-run budget constraint while countries may experience "local non-stationarity" in current account balances,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397237
This paper examines the impact of sectorial reforms on current account imbalances, with a special focus on the People's Republic of China (PRC). In particular, we investigate to what extent reforms pertaining to the financial sector, social protection, and healthcare may contribute to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397354
Global current account imbalances are one of the key macroeconomic imbalances that underlie the global financial crisis. The central objective of this paper is to analyze the causes and consequences of global imbalances from the perspective of developing Asia. More specifically, we examine the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010507261
The main purpose of this paper is to supplement the existing literature by quantifying the elasticity of New Zealand's current account to changes in the real exchange rate. The unusual composition of New Zealand's current account balance – particularly the large income deficit and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115679
The influential work of Obstfeld and Rogoff argues that a closing-up of the US current account deficit involves a large exchange rate adjustment. However, the Obstfeld-Rogoff model works exclusively via demand-side channels and abstracts from possible supply-side changes. We extend the framework...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604807
In this paper, we take a systematic look at global imbalances. First, we provide a definition of the phenomenon, and relate global imbalances to widening external positions of systemically important economies that reflect distortions or entail risks for the global economy. Second, we provide an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606230
In den südeuropäischen Krisenländern Griechenland, Portugal und Spanien erfolgen bereits merkliche Anpassungen, die dort infolge der Leistungsbilanzdefizite und der hohen Auslandsverschuldung notwendig sind. Die Wachstumsraten der realen Exporte waren zuletzt überaus kräftig. Zum Teil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011633309
Differences in financial systems are often named as a prime candidate for the current state of global imbalances. This paper argues that the process of capital liberalization can explain a substantial fraction of the US net external liabilities. We present a simple two-country model with an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322494