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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011695890
The Brussels Effect, once emblematic of the EU's alleged influence in shaping global regulations, has now become a factor contributing to global regulatory fragmentation. The EU must recalibrate its trajectory towards a liberal and rules-based trading order, prioritizing widespread regulatory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014560198
There is growing awareness that the distribution of IMF facilities may not be influenced only by the economic needs of the borrowers. This paper focuses on the fact that the IMF may favour geopolitically important countries in the distribution of IMF loans, differentiating between concessional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605011
This article analyses IMF estimates of economic growth in 180 countries (IMF, 2009), and inks the results to the Re-orient approach, put forward by Frank, 1998. With global economic gravitation shifting to the Indian Ocean/Pacific region, the article also analyses the role of MNC (foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271250
react in a timely fashion to changes in the environment, leading to real-time forecast improvements relative to other … methods of density forecast combination, such as Bayesian model averaging, optimal (static) pools, and equal weights. We show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011340986
-2005Q4. Forecasts are obtained for 134 variables from 26 regions made up of 33 countries covering about 90% of world output … forecast combination literature, the effects of model and estimation uncertainty on forecast outcomes are examined by pooling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276220
of world output. The forecasts are compared to typical benchmarks: univariate autoregressive and random walk models …. Building on the forecast combination literature, the paper examines the effects of model and estimation uncertainty on forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283542
Am 27. September 2018 stellte die Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose in Berlin ihr Herbstgutachten der Presse vor. Sie erwartet für das laufende Jahr eine um 1,7% höhere Wirtschaftsleistung, im Frühjahr war sie noch von 2,2% ausgegangen. Für das kommende Jahr wurde die Vorhersage leicht von...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012017999
Jahr 2020 bestätigen die Institute ihre Prognose aus dem vergangenen Herbst: Das Bruttoinlandsprodukt dürfte im Jahr 2020 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012018074
Prognose. Nach der Verschiebung des Austrittsdatums sollte der Brexit spätestens bis Ende Oktober dieses Jahres stattfinden …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012140709