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expansionary demand shock and to an inflationary supply shock under the Taylor rule, asymmetric unemployment targeting, and average … inflation targeting. For each rule we distinguish between cases with zero weight on the unemployment gap and a negative response … to rising unemployment. Across all rules, responding to unemployment leads to lower losses of employment and higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374420
We incorporate financial linkages in EAGLE, a New Keynesian multi-country dynamic general equilibrium model of the euro area (EA) by including financial frictions and country-specific banking sectors. In this new version of the model, termed EAGLE-FLI (Euro Area and GLobal Economy with Financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605968
Building on the New Area Wide Model, we develop a 4-region macroeconomic model of the euro area and the world economy. The model (EAGLE, Euro Area and Global Economy model) is microfounded and designed for conducting quantitative policy analysis of macroeconomic interdependence across regions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605241
supranational unemployment insurance scheme. The model is calibrated to the euro area's core and periphery and features a rich …-regional correlation of unemployment and in ation increases by up to 52% and 27%, respectively, compared to the decentralised setting. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422090
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012014957
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016353
The last review of the ECB's monetary policy strategy in 2003 followed a period of predominantly upside risks to price stability. Experience following the 2008 financial crisis has focused renewed attention on the question of how monetary and fiscal policy should best interact, in particular in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661655
This paper analyses the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic shock on small open economies in a monetary union with an application to the euro area. Accounting for a high degree of openness and a strong dependence on intra and extra union trade, we focus on the size and the direction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661631
In this paper we review the methodology of forecasting with log-linearised DSGE models using Bayesian methods. We focus on the estimation of their predictive distributions, with special attention being paid to the mean and the covariance matrix of h-step ahead forecasts. In the empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605231
DSGE (Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium) models are the common workhorse of modern macroeconomic theory. Whereas story-telling and policy analysis were in the forefront of applications since its inception, the forecasting perspective of DSGE models is only recently topical. In this study,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011630409