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The capacity of input-output tables to reflect the structural peculiarities of an economy and to forecast, on this basis, its evolution, depends essentially on the characteristics of the matrix A matrix of I-O (or technical) coefficients. However, the temporal behaviour of these coefficients is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011551997
A discrete time model of financial markets is considered. It is assumed that the relative jumps of the risky security price are independent non-identically distributed random variables. In the focus of attention is the expected non-risky profit of the investor that arises when the jumps of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293743
Market analysts and central banks often use the implied volatility of FX options as an indicator of expected exchange … deviate the value of implied volatility from the exchange rate variability expected by the market. These biasing factors are … one month. However, implied volatility provides a biased estimate, and does not encompass the information included in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322417
, effectively lowering its volatility. We also show that relatively small increases in the average holdings of reserves by Latin … substantially REER volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288117
both current and past market returns. Using various time-varying volatility models to accommodate conditional … causality-in-variance is used to analyse if volatility among small traders spills over into spot markets, it is found that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326188
growth rate and volatility of commodity spot prices. This view gained credence because in the 2000s trading volume increased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030340
Given the far-reaching implications of commodity prices for developing countries an understanding of the factors behind recent commodity price developments is crucial. ÖFSE research shows that besides structural changes in fundamental supply and demand conditions, the increasing presence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377393
The unparalleled surge of the crude oil price after 2003 has triggered a heated scientific and public debate about its ultimate causes. Unexpected demand growth particularly from emerging economies appears to be the most prominently supported reason among academics. We study the price dynamics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753232
taxes is to contain price rise and volatility, to generate revenue, and to increase transparency, these arguments are …, volatility and transaction cost using a three-equation structural model for five top selected commodities namely Gold, Copper … cost and liquidity, and a positive relationship between transaction cost and volatility. Therefore, if the government …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807622
We use a compound option-based structural credit risk model to infer a term structure of banking crisis risk from market data on bank stocks in daily frequency. Considering debt service payments with different maturities this term structure assigns a separate estimator for short- and long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300362