In this research paper ARCH-type models are applied in order to estimate the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of an inflation …-index futures portfolio for several time-horizons. The empirical analysis is carried out for Mexican inflation-indexed futures … time horizons. These results have implications for short-term inflation forecasts. By estimating confidence intervals in …

We explore the welfare costs of inflation originating from lack of liquidity satiation for Weimar Republic …'s hyperinflation and three high-inflation countries. Towards the peak of Weimar's hyperinflation the costs are estimated to have been … equal to nearly 20 per cent of income. For Israel, Mexico, and Argentina the costs had been materially lower, but still in …

, however, is the incompleteness of its reform process: the boom-bust nature of its growth, persistently high inflation, delays …, to reduce inflation to single digits by the end of 2002. Since then, though, Turkey has experienced two financial crises … and redesigned its stabilization program to bring inflation down more gradually. This collection analyzes the nature of …

After almost four decades of price stability, inflation has recently approached historical highs. Initially driven by … global energy and food price increases, the magnitude of the surge in inflation caught central banks and markets by surprise … monetary policy tightening, inflation upside risks are large. How can central banks restore control - and with it their own …

-have been carried out at no cost to output. After suggesting a new methodology that allows for long-lived effects and inflation … combination of circumstances-i.e. capital inflows, structural reforms and the peculiar recent inflation history-can explain that …

This paper reviews theory and evidence of the welfare effects of inflation from a costbenefit perspective. Basic models … and selected empirical results are discussed. Historically, in assessing the welfare effects of inflation, the distortion … of money demand played a prominent role. More recently, interactions of inflation and taxation came into focus. Growth …

interpreted, first and foremost, as a commitment device. In our setting, a monetary target helps anchoring inflation and inflation … well as a strong response to deviations of inflation from target and to the activity growth gap. In contrast, the response …