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stochastic volatility. Estimation of the model delivers measures of daily variation outperforming their non …When analysing the volatility related to high frequency financial data, mostly non-parametric approaches based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326060
particularly interested in volatility modelling and forecasting given their importance for FOREX dealers. Compared with previous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271381
Models based on economic theory have serious problems at forecasting exchange rates better than simple univariate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280768
methods. The effects of several model characteristics(unit roots, GARCH, stochastic volatility, heavy tailed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324426
methods. The effects ofseveral modelcharacteristics (unit roots, GARCH, stochastic volatility, heavy taileddisturbance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324963
strong and rising negative correlation between oil prices and the US dollar since the early 2000s, with risk shocks and the … financialisation process of oil prices explaining most of the strengthening of this correlation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605734
This paper analyzes the factors underlying the weakness of the euro. For this purpose, the framework advocated by Clarida and Gali (1994) is used. Within this model, three structural shocks drive the dynamics of the endogenous variables: aggregate supply shocks, aggregate spending shocks, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260459
Exchange rates as well as relative price level and output movements are decomposed into components associated with nominal shocks as well as shocks to aggregate supply and aggregate demand. In contrast to previous analyses of such decompositions based on statistical vector autoregression (VAR)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302260
A striking and unexpected feature of the financial crisis has been the sharp appreciation of the US dollar against virtually all currencies globally. The paper finds that negative US-specific macroeconomic shocks during the crisis have triggered a significant strengthening of the US dollar,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605106
The paper proposes a general asymmetric multifactor Wishart stochastic volatility (AMWSV) diffusion process which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326219