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Renewed interest in fiscal policy has increased the use of quantitative models to evaluate policy. Because of modeling uncertainty, it is essential that policy evaluations be robust to alternative assumptions. We find that models currently being used in practice to evaluate fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010303715
Renewed interest in fiscal policy has increased the use of quantitative models to evaluate policy. Because of modelling uncertainty, it is essential that policy evaluations be robust to alternative assumptions. We find that models currently being used in practice to evaluate fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605136
measures emphasize that government spending can stimulate additional private spending the so-called Keynesian multiplier effect …, when stimulus is most needed, may even be negative. Traditional Keynesian multiplier effects only arise in a model that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010303706
government spending shocks, using Bayesian techniques for US data. I find the multiplier for government spending to be 1.12, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279882
measures emphasize that government spending can stimulate additional private spending — the Keynesian multiplier effect. Thus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605313
This paper assesses recent theorising and empirical evidence on the impact of fiscal policy—taxes, public expenditures and budget deficits—on long-run growth. It considers the relevance of recent advances in growth theory for low-income countries and compares the evidence for low-income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279253
Recent evidence on the effect of government spending shocks on consumption cannot be easily reconciled with existing optimizing business cycle models. We extend the standard New Keynesian model to allow for the presence of rule-of-thumb (non-Ricardian) consumers. We show how the interaction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298292
calibration results show that consumption multipliers to be small and negative. However, the output multiplier is positive and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014296311
I estimate regime-dependent spillover effects from government spending shocks across the members of the European Monetary Union (EMU). I use panel regressions for a total of 14 EMU economies from 1997 to 2022. Government spending shocks are defined by unexpected innovations to forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014476390
fiscal multiplier depend strongly on the horizon at which the multiplier is evaluated. While the long-run effect of a fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308228