Showing 1 - 10 of 25,380
We study the dynamics of a Lucas-tree model with finitely lived agents who "learn from experience." Individuals update expectations by Bayesian learning based on observations from their own lifetimes. In this model, the stock price exhibits stochastic boom-and-bust fluctuations around the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605442
of in-sample and out-of-sample predictability across different stock markets. Overall, these findings suggests that … return predictability is not a uniform and a universal feature across international capital markets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298059
We propose a novel method to forecast corporate earnings, which combines the accuracy of analysts’ forecasts with the unbiasedness of a cross-sectional model. We build on recent insights from the earnings forecasts literature to improve analysts’ forecasts in two ways: reducing their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014504005
We propose a theory that jointly accounts for an asset illiquidity and for the asset price potential over-reliance on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274821
this, it is deduced that systematic pricing errors occur in equity markets which hence can not be efficient in the Effcient …One empirical argument that has been around for some time and that clearly contra- dicts equity market efficiency is … investment style indices from an integrated European Equity market, all usual assumptions are dropped. This is achieved by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269909
decomposition, distinguishing cash flow and discount rate betas in up and down markets. Using CRSP data over 1963--2008, we find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325965
This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276273
This study provides evidence for a positive association between mutual fund holdings'implied cost of capital (ICC) and future performance. Consistent with large transactioncosts of ICC-based investments impeding their exploitation and employing a ICC-basedstrategy reflecting skill, family-level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416698
of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), allowing for a wide class of error distributions which include normality as a … is too restrictive when testing the CAPM. We also propose exact multivariate diagnostic checks (including tests for …In diesem Papier schlagen wir exakte likelihood-basierte Tests auf Mittelwert-Varianz- Effizienz im Rahmen des CAPM vor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295747
risk averse, asset markets large, and variance-mean ratios of asset returns high in fully revealing rational expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261163