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The volatility of interest rates is relevant for many financial applications. Under realistic assumptions the term …-float regime. The volatility processes of arbitraryterm differentials under the respective pre-switch arrangements are compared … Zinsstruktur. Diese Arbeit leitet die Zinsdifferentialstruktur in einer Situation her, in der zwei offene Volkswirtschaften in der …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295569
Using a Dynamic Semiparametric Factor Model (DSFM) we investigate the term structure of interest rates. The proposed methodology is applied to monthly interest rates for four southern European countries: Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain from the introduction of the Euro to the recent European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318745
Being able to model yield curves from observed bond yields is essential in capital markets. Yield curves are required to accurately price financial products as well as to correctly assess the macroeconomic situation of economies. Current models based on the work of Nelson/Siegel et al. apply a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305888
The main goal of this paper is to examine the relationship between macroeconomic shocks and yield curve movements in Hungary. To this end, we apply a Nelson-Siegel type dynamic yield curve model, where changes of the yield curve are driven by two latent factors and some key macro variables that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322460
This paper studies a nonlinear one-factor term structure model in discrete time. The single factor is the short-term interest rate, which is modeled as a self-exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) process. Our specification allows for shifts in the intercept and the variance. The process is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295839
capturing interest rate risk. The so-called Stochastic Volatility Nelson-Siegel (SVNS) model allows for stochastic volatility in … evidence for time-varying volatility in the yield factors. This is mostly true for the level and slope volatility revealing … also the highest persistence. It turns out that the inclusion of stochastic volatility improves the model's goodness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270702
volatilityinduced stationarity. Our model employs a leveldependent conditional volatility that maintains stationarity despite the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388881
-variance analysis of alternative investments has been hampered by the lack of a systematic treatment of volatility in these markets …. This may seem surprising as derivatives on subsets of the traded goods require a precise modelling and estimation of the … underlying volatility. For example, in art markets, auction houses often give price guarantees to the seller that resemble put …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318789
on some high frequency basis has spurred the research in the field of volatility modeling and forecasting into new … directions. First, the realized variance is a much better estimate of the latent volatility than the sum of the weighted daily … squared returns. As such it is better suited for comparing the out-of-sample performances of competing volatility models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263102
In the aftermath of the Great Recession and during the debt crisis in the euro area yields on German federal bonds have been exceptionally low. This analysis tries to calculate the profits that the federal government makes due to the low yields. The interest payments that are due to emissions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287008