framework, indicating demand pressure that generates inflation. The output gap is also an important variable in itself, as a … value added in predicting inflation. The multivariate measures of the output gap have by far the best predictive power. This … predicting inflation. As uncertainties are particularly pronounced at the end of the calculation periods, assessment of pressures …

We evaluate the performance of inflation forecasts based on the open-economy Phillips curve by exploiting the spatial … pattern of international propagation of inflation. We model these spatial linkages using global inflation and either domestic … slack or oil price fluctuations, motivated by a novel interpretation of the forecasting implications of the workhorse open …

Various inflation forecasting models are compared using a simulated out-of-sample forecasting framework. We focus on … the question of whether monetary aggregates are useful for forecasting inflation, but unlike previous work we examine a … models for forecasting, and helps to explain previous findings of the failure of VEC models to forecast better than VAR …

Bei Vorliegen nach unten starrer Nominallöhne erschwert niedrige Inflation Reallohnanpassungen und führt so … Auswirkungen bei sehr niedriger Inflation nicht zu vernachlässigen sind. Die Ergebnisse dieser Literatur sollten daher bei der …In the presence of downwardly rigid nominal wages, low inflation may lead to higher equilibrium unemployment by …

-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. …

hyperbolic discounting leads to inflation having significant long-run effects on real variables. …

A growing body of empirical evidence shows that there exists a long-run positive tradeoff between inflation and real … between inflation and output. …

This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on ?frictional growth? describing the … able to work themselves out fully. In this context, monetary shocks have a gradual and delayed effect on inflation, and … these shocks also generate plausible impulse-responses for unemployment. Although our theory contains no money illusion, no …

How are inflation and unemployment related in the long run? Are they negatively correlated, as in the so-called naive … in his Nobel lecture? In this paper inflation is introduced into a general equilibrium search unemployment model. We show … of inflation. …