Showing 1 - 10 of 9,630
This paper reviews reassesses the methodology and principal findings of the “Rose effect”, i.e. the trade effects of currency union, looking at both EMU and non-EMU currency unions. The consensus estimate suggests that the euro has already boosted intra-euro area trade by five to ten...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604640
Market analysts and central banks often use the implied volatility of FX options as an indicator of expected exchange … rate uncertainty. The aim of our study is to investigate the limits of this statistic. We present some key factors that may … deviate the value of implied volatility from the exchange rate variability expected by the market. These biasing factors are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322417
This paper analyzes the relation between exchange rate volatility and several macroeconomic variables, namely real per … find that lower exchange rate volatility is associated with higher growth (for relatively less financially developed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604975
The paper explores the interaction between the proposed monetary union for ECOWAS and structural reforms of fiscal policy. The effects depend to a large extent on the degree of similarity of member countries. In a monetary union of similar countries, member states run a more distortive fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295326
potential of nonlinear relationships linking exchange rate uncertainty and trade growth. Parametric linear and nonlinear as well … forecasts gain from conditioning on volatility. Empirical results support the view that the relationship of interest might be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296439
In this paper, a survey on theoretically expected and empirically proved impacts of exchange rate volatility is given …. With regard to the West German unemployment, the effects of volatility are empirically analysed using three different … volatility measures and four country groups. In autoregressive models, a significant disturbing impact of volatility can be found …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262270
relationship between currency futures trading activity and spot volatility. Moreover, in the case of four out of the total of five … currencies discussed in this paper, futures trading activity adds significantly to spot volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262985
Engel and Rogers (1996) find that crossing the US-Canada border can considerably raise relative price volatility and … that exchange rate fluctuations explain about one-third of the volatility increase. In re-evaluating the border effect …, this study shows that cross-country heterogeneity in price volatility can lead to significant bias in measuring the border …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274494
Using daily Bundesbank foreign exchange market intervention data, we employ a multinomial logit approach to estimate an intervention reaction function for the German Central Bank using options implied volatilities and the deviation of the exchange rate from its target level as explanatory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275122
I revisit the potential costs and benefits for Sweden of joining the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) of the European Union. I first show that the Swedish business cycle since the mid-1990s has been closely correlated with the Euro area economies, suggesting that common shocks have been an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320726