Showing 1 - 10 of 15,183
The paper considers a Bayesian approach to the cointegrated VAR model with a uniform prior on the cointegration space. Building on earlier work by Villani (2005b), where the posterior probability of the cointegration rank can be calculated conditional on the lag order, the current paper also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604738
This paper explores the stability of the relation between money demand for M3 and inflation in the euro area by … including the recent period of the financial crisis. Evidence is based on a cointegration analysis, where inflation and asset … inflation are identified. The results indicate that the equilibrium evolution of M3 is still in line with money demand. In the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010304804
This paper explores the stability of the relation between money demand for M3 and inflation in the euro area by … including the recent period of the financial crisis. Evidence is based on a cointegration analysis, where inflation and asset … inflation are identified. The results indicate that the equilibrium evolution of M3 is still in line with money demand. In the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286288
countryspecific measures, particularly since the start of EMU, and is useful to predict country-specific inflation. However, it … generally does not encompass country-specific money overhang measures as predictors of inflation. Hence, aggregate money …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263515
The paper proposes two econometric models of inflation for Azerbaijan: one based on monthly data and eclectic, another … based on quarterly data and takes into account disequilibrium at the money market. Inflation regression based on monthly … data showed that consumer prices dynamics is explained by money growth (the more money, the higher the inflation), exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430889
We explore the welfare costs of inflation originating from lack of liquidity satiation for Weimar Republic …'s hyperinflation and three high-inflation countries. Towards the peak of Weimar's hyperinflation the costs are estimated to have been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014494959
-specific measures,particularly since the start of EMU, and is useful to predict country-specific inflation.However, it generally does … not encompass country-specific money overhang measuresas predictors of inflation. Hence, aggregate money overhang is an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010312123
This paper examines the forecasting performance of a broad monetary aggregate (M3) in predicting euro area inflation … even in the period of the financial and economic crisis. Monetary indicators are useful to predict inflation at the longer … money and inflation, central banks should implement exit strategies from the current policy path, as soon as the financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285775
In this paper, different Divisia monetary aggregates for the euro area are constructed over the period from 1980 to 2000. Theoretically, one main difference of these aggregates is their reaction to exchange-rate variations. Empirically, the aggregates are compared with respect to three issues....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295730
The question of the main determinants of persistent responses due to nominal shocks captures, at least since Chari et al. (2000), a major part of the recent macroeconomic debate. However, the question whether sticky wages and/or sticky prices are sufficient for persistent reactions of key...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262990