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Empirical risk factors in realized stock returns
Novák, Jiří; Petr, Dalibor - 2009
Measuring risk in the stock market context is one of the key challenges of modern finance. Despite of the substantial … significance of the topic to investors and market regulators, there is a controversy over what risk factors should be used to price … the assets or to determine the cost of capital. We empirically investigate the ability of several commonly proposed risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322253
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The nexus between stock returns of oil companies and oil price fluctuations after heavy oil upgrading: Toward theoretical progress
Sedigh, Mojtaba; Mohammadi, Majid; Farahani Fard, Saeed; … - In: Economies 7 (2019) 3, pp. 1-17
This study attempts to discover the nexus between crude oil price fluctuation after heavy oil upgrading and stock returns of petroleum companies in the U.S. Stock Exchange for the years 2008 to 2018. One of the methods of upgrading heavy crude oil is to extract asphaltene from crude oil....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013199583
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Crude oil prices and the euro-dollar exchange rate: A forecasting exercise
Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus; Breitenfellner, Andreas - 2008
If oil exporters stabilize the purchasing power of their export revenues in terms of imports, exchange rate developments (and particularly, developments in the US dollar/euro exchange rate) may contain information about oil price changes. This hypothesis depends on three conditions: (a) OPEC has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293389
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Does the Iranian oil supply matter for the oil prices?
Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza - 2012
There is an increasing tension between the Iranian Government and the west on an increasingly likely European oil embargo and the Iranian threat to close the Strait of Hormuz. The main question is: What will happen to the international oil prices in the case of shocks in the flow of Iranian oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294407
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Modelling the Effects of Oil Prices on Global Fertilizer Prices and Volatility
Chen, Ping-Yu; Chang, Chia-Lin; Chen, Chi-Chung; … - 2013
The main purpose of this paper is to evaluate the effect of crude oil price on global fertilizer prices in both the mean and volatility. The endogenous structural breakpoint unit root test, ARDL model, and alternative volatility models, including GARCH, EGARCH, and GJR models, are used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326493
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Global commodity cycles and linkages a FAVAR approach
Lombardi, Marco J.; Osbat, Chiara; Schnatz, Bernd - 2010
In this paper we examine linkages across non-energy commodity price developments by means of a factor-augmented VAR model (FAVAR). From a set of non-energy commodity price series, we extract two factors, which we identify as common trends in metals and a food prices. These factors are included...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605216
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Does the Oil Price Adjust Optimally to Oil Field Discoveries?
Leinert, Lisa - 2012
The Hotelling rule argues that the price for a non-renewable resource adjusts to the shadow value of the resource, reflecting its remaining availability. This study provides an empirical test of this hypothesis. It investigates whether the price of crude oil does adjust to unexpected news about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753233
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Evaluating the Empirical Performance of Alternative Econometric Models for Oil Price Forecasting
Manera, Matteo; Longo, Chiara; Markandya, Anil; Scarpa, … - 2007
The relevance of oil in the world economy explains why considerable effort has been devoted to the development of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010312337
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Risikofaktoren und Multifaktormodelle für den Deutschen Aktienmarkt (Risk Factors and Multi-Factor Models for the German Stock Market)
Hanauer, Matthias; Kaserer, Christoph; Rapp, Marc Steffen - 2011
internationalization and a higher free float. In this paper, we investigate to what extent these changes influenced the well-known risk … four major results: First, we find an insignificant (positive) market risk premium, a significant negative size premium, a … significant positive value premium and a significant positive momentum premium. Second, the correlation within all four risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010307494
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Common Risk Factors and the Macroeconomy: New Evidence from the Japanese Stock Market
Bretschger, Lucas; Lechthaler, Filippo - 2012
the second largest in the world and operates under unique macroeconomic conditions. We find that the CAPM model is not an …Using new data on returns and risk factors the paper considers the stock performance on the Japanese market, which is … relation between stock returns and risk factors is affected by macroeconomic conditions, especially when considering the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753224