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In present study, I explore intraday behavior of stock prices. In particular, I try to shed light on the dynamics of stock price reversals and namely, on the short-term character the latter may possess. For each of the stocks currently making up the Dow Jones Industrial Index, I calculate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011310234
Inspired by the theory of social imitation (Weidlich 1970) and its adaptation to financial markets by the Coherent … Market Hypothesis (Vaga 1990), we present a behavioral model of stock prices that supports the overreaction hypothesis. Using … two factors of our model are the stock price and a market polarization variable which determines the level of overreaction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301798
Bayesian learning provides the core concept of processing noisy information. In standard Bayesian frameworks, assessing the price impact of information requires perfect knowledge of news' precision. In practice, however, precision is rarely dis- closed. Therefore, we extend standard Bayesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010303759
exhibit bounded rationality and short-term thinking to explain the effect of under and overreaction to news. The existence of …-only scenario into a market with overreaction. The use of long moving average rules might even make the market unstable. Furthermore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323743
Bayesian learning provides a core concept of information processing in financial markets. Typically it is assumed that market participants perfectly know the quality of released news. However, in practice, news' precision is rarely disclosed. Therefore, we extend standard Bayesian learning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274280
Dieser Beitrag beschäftigt sich mit den Theoriebeiträgen der Fundamentaldatenanalyse, der Effizienzmarkthypothese und … der Behavioral Finance. Die Fundamentaldatenanalyse bietet einzelnen Investoren eine leistungsfähige Heuristik, wie sie … auf volatilen Märkten ihre Spielzüge optimieren können. Die Effizienzmarkthypothese versucht stattdessen, den …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011733818
We first report that one-minute returns on TOPIX have exhibited significant autocorrelation at five-minute intervals since 1997/98, which implies there is an arbitrage opportunity. Special quotes that are issued whenever there is a price jump in excess of a predetermined band seem to be the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332467
Ja, der Ablauf der Lock-up-Frist ist ein kursrelevantes Ereignis. Wir untersuchen Kursreaktionen auf das Ende der Lock-up-Frist bei 142 Unternehmen des Neuen Marktes. Da der Ablauf der Sperrfrist bereits zum Zeitpunkt des Börsengangs bekannt ist, erwarten wir bei einem...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316317
This article contributes to the literature on macroeconomic announcements and their impact on asset prices by investigating how the 15-second Xetra DAX returns reflect the monthly announcements of the two best known business cycle forecasts for Germany, i.e. the ifo Business Climate Index and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298727
heuristics do better. In priority rule-based scheduling, attempts to remedy this have been made by combining simple priority …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011558738