The objective of our work is to study the term structure of interest rates and the sovereign credit spreads of emerging markets. We develop a model from term structure, credit risk and vector autoregressive models, based on the articles by Ang and Piazzesi (2003) and Ang, Dong and Piazzesi...

The evolution of the yields of different maturities is related and can be described by a reduced number of commom latent factors. Multifactor interest rate models of the finance literature, common factor models of the time series literature and others use this property. Each model has advantages...

We propose different exactly identified specifications of affine models with observed macri factors. The models are compared estimating Brazilian domestic and sovereign yield curves.

Our objective is to implement a credit risk pricing model for sovereign bonds and estimate the model for a historical series of yields of emerging markets bonds. We use a reduced model with a Vasicek 2-factor model on Brazilian sovereign data. The estimation occurs in two stages. Using Maximum...

We use macro finance models to study the interaction between macro variables and the Brazilian sovereign yield curve using daily data. We calculate the model implied default probabilities and a measure of the impact of macro shocks on the probabilities. An extension of the Dai-Singleton...

With data from the Household Budget Survey of 2008-2009, the study investigates the demographic and socioeconomic determinants of saving rate of Brazilian families in the recent past. The main results are consistent with the predictions of the theory of life / permanent income cycle, properly...

The paper investigates the demographic and socioeconomic determinants of aggregate savings rate of Brazilian families in the recent past. The main results are consistent with the predictions of the theory of the cycle of life/permanent income, properly extended to incorporate institutional and...

With data from the Consumer Expenditure Survey of 2008-2209, the work assesses empirically the implications of the theory of life/permanent income for the behavior of the trajectories of consumption and savings rate of Brazilian families in the life cycle. The objective is to test the validity...

This study examines the relationship between institutional quality and capital flows to emerging economies. Such index correspond to a structural long-run determinant to capital flows and is actually little discussed in the literature. The 13 economies analyzed between 2000-2014 accounted for...

The Household Budget Survey from IBGE is the only source of microeconomic data on savings of Brazilian families. As this research has been carried out at intervals of at least five years, it is important to discuss and empirically assess whether the estimated models with latest lagged research...