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The study at hand deals with the expectations of professional analysts and novices in the context of foreign exchange markets. We analyze the respective forecasting accuracy and our results indicate that there exist substantial differences between professional forecasts and judgmental forecasts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296526
The French government currently honors a very unusual debt contract: an annuity that was issued in 1738 and currently yields 1.20 Euro per year. I tell the story of this unique debt, which serves as an anecdotal but symbolic summary of French public finances since the 18th century.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292174
judge ten multiple-outcome lotteries or ten n-dimensional income distributions in terms of both ratings and valuations. This … (lotteries versus income distributions) effects in subjects' perceptions concerning the two types of Lorenz relations. We found … the existence of a marked response-mode effect, as only the ratings of the lotteries and income distributions confirm both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296241
-to-pay (WTP) for risky lotteries. The direction of the income effect is reversed by endowing subjects with the highest price of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296262
This paper provides a comparative experimental study of risky prospects (lotteries) and income distributions. The … experimental design consisted of multi-outcome lotteries and n-dimensional income distributions arranged in the shapes of ten … response-mode effects, which cause inconsistent behavior between rating and valuation of lotteries and income distributions in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296309
Social lotteries are lotteries that are played along with someone else. The experimental literature indicates that risk … explicitly draws attention to risk at the level of the pair and may thus moderate dislike for negatively correlated lotteries, as … those are less risky at the level of the group. We find that a significant minority of subjects keeps on disliking lotteries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348199
We analyze one of the explanations why people participate in lotteries. Our hypothesis stipulates that part of the … value that a unit of money buys in lotteries is consumed before the actual resolution in the form of emotions such as hope …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325695
-to-pay (WTP) for risky lotteries. The direction of the income effect is reversed by endowing subjects with the highest price of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332932
We experimentally investigate purchase decisions with linear and nonlinear pricing under risk. The experiment is based on a single period stochastic inventory problem with endogenous cost. It extends classic binary lottery experiments to test standard decision theoretic predictions concerning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264816
lotteries to have a chance of crossing a purchasing threshold. One implication of this is that income effects for individuals … who choose to play lotteries are likely to be larger than for the general population. Using UK data on lottery wins, other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275746