We nowcast world trade using machine learning, distinguishing between tree-based methods (random forest, gradient boosting) and their regression-based counterparts (macroeconomic random forest, linear gradient boosting). While much less used in the literature, the latter are found to outperform...

Today's economy is characterized by increased competition, faster product development and increased product differentiation. As a consequence product lifecycles become shorter and demand patterns become more volatile which especially affects the retail industry. This new situation imposes...

KI-Modelle und Machine-Learning-Anwendungen halten Einzug in die alltägliche Praxis von Unternehmen und können mitbestimmt werden. Um die Interessen und Rechte der Beschäftigten zu berücksichtigen und zu schützen, sollten die aktuellen Regelungen in betrieblichen IT-Vereinbarungen...

Scientific, political and bureaucratic elites use epistemic practices like “big data analysis” and “web scraping” to create representations of the citizenry and to legitimize policymaking. I develop the concept of “demos scraping” for these practices of gaining information about...

Big Data collected by customer-facing organisations - such as smartphone logs, store loyalty card transactions, smart travel tickets, social media posts, or smart energy meter readings - account for most of the data collected about citizens today. As a result, they are transforming the practice...

In a randomized control trial, the precision of an average treatment effect estimator can be improved either by collecting data on additional individuals, or by collecting additional covariates that predict the outcome variable. We propose the use of pre-experimental data such as a census, or a...

In a randomized control trial, the precision of an average treatment effect estimator can be improved either by collecting data on additional individuals, or by collecting additional covariates that predict the outcome variable. We propose the use of pre-experimental data such as a census, or a...

In a randomized control trial, the precision of an average treatment effect estimator and the power of the corresponding t-test can be improved either by collecting data on additional individuals, or by collecting additional covariates that predict the outcome variable. We propose the use of...

The aim of this paper is to introduce a practical nonlinear generalization of PCA that captures nonlinear forms of dependence and delivers truly independent factors. The output of the method is a low-dimensional curvilinear coordinate system that tracks the important features of the data. The...