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If oil exporters stabilize the purchasing power of their export revenues in terms of imports, exchange rate developments (and particularly, developments in the US dollar/euro exchange rate) may contain information about oil price changes. This hypothesis depends on three conditions: (a) OPEC has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293389
Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification, we endogenize the long-term correlation between crude oil and stock price … future economic activity are helpful predictors for changes in the oil-stock correlation. For the period 1993-2011 there is … strong evidence for a counter cyclical behavior of the long-term correlation. For prolonged periods with strong growth above …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422237
The main purpose of this paper is to evaluate the effect of crude oil price on global fertilizer prices in both the mean and volatility. The endogenous structural breakpoint unit root test, ARDL model, and alternative volatility models, including GARCH, EGARCH, and GJR models, are used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326493
In this paper we examine linkages across non-energy commodity price developments by means of a factor-augmented VAR model (FAVAR). From a set of non-energy commodity price series, we extract two factors, which we identify as common trends in metals and a food prices. These factors are included...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605216
strong and rising negative correlation between oil prices and the US dollar since the early 2000s, with risk shocks and the … financialisation process of oil prices explaining most of the strengthening of this correlation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605734
markets and the rest of the world. Long-run correlation estimates imply very low association between the two. The two distinct …We employ parametric and non-parametric cointegration to investigate the extent of integration between African stock … cointegration approaches confirm the latter through recursive estimation. The implication is that global market movements may have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273679
in energy markets, and test for this using standard correlation measures and recently proposed adjusted correlation, co …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932029
relationship between World agricultural commodity prices, World oil prices and Hungarian producer and consumer food prices. After …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494538
series. Given the non-stationarity of our variables, we found cointegration to exist only between oil price and foreign … reserve. The presence of cointegration implied the existence of long run relationship between the variables. The Granger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012611155
This paper addresses the purchasing power parity (PPP) puzzle for a commodity currency. In particular, we analyse the real exchange rate behaviour in Norway, which has a primary commodity (oil) that constitutes the majority of its exports. A substantial part of the literature on commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284496