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Economic theory predicts a negative relationship between inventories and the real interest rate, but previous empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333073
operandi to analyze the time series characteristics of interest rates and to test for common features. We conduct cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264545
model of interest rate determination. The empirical part consists of a cointegration analysis with an error correction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308389
Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are widely used for filtering purposes of non-linear economic or financial models. Nevertheless the SMC scope encompasses wider applications such as estimating static model parameters so much that it is becoming a serious alternative to Markov- Chain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506783
) processes. The linear VAR model is extendedto permit cointegration, a range of deterministic processes, equilibrium restrictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326026
United Kingdom and Sweden under the Gold Standard: under stable monetary regimes with clearly defined nominal anchors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604897
This paper describes a semiparametric Bayesian method for analyzing duration data. The proposed estimator specifies a complete functional form for duration spells, but allows flexibility by introducing an individual heterogeneity term, which follows a Dirichlet mixture distribution. I show how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276176
processes, cointegration is a necessary condition both for consistent estimation of the parameters of the model and … compatibility between the model and the data. Tests find little support for cointegration and, together with an out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321545
The relationship between inventory investment and the real interest rate has been difficult to assess empirically. Recent work has proposed a linear-quadratic inventory model with time-varying discount factor to identify the effects of real interest rate on inventory investment. The authors show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298604
Following a contractionary monetary policy shock, the aggregate output decreases over time for six to eight quarters, while the real interest rate increases immediately and remains high for three quarters. Full participation models can hardly replicate the joint response of the aggregate output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263223