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forecasting approach for East German GDP that takes data availability in real time and regional economic indicators into account …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012146979
, we explore the ability of the MIDAS model to provide forecast updates for GDP growth (nowcasting). …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011788964
This paper presents a MIDAS type mixed frequency VAR forecasting model. First, we propose a general and compact mixed … pseudo out-of-sample forecasting exercise with US real-time data yields that the mixed frequency VAR substantially improves … frequency VAR framework using a stacked vector approach. Second, we integrate the mixed frequency VAR with a MIDAS type Almon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011307783
encouraging. In a pseudo out-of-sample exercise, our approach beats relevant benchmarks for forecasting CPI inflation and an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011307784
-time and final data releases differ, we also observe minimal impacts on the relative forecasting performance of indicator …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011595792
forecasting power of these models for the Japanese economy. In this paper, we aim at assessing the relative performance of factor …. For most of the components, we report that factor models yield lower forecasting errors than a simple AR process or an … improvements in terms of forecasting accuracy are found for more volatile periods, such as the recent financial crisis. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605473
We present a comprehensive disaggregate approach for short-term forecasting economic activity in Germany by explicitly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011902328
-on-quarter growth rates in Switzerland. It also assesses the informational content of macroeconomic data releases for forecasting of the … for GDP forecasting although their ranking depends on the underlying transformation of monthly indicators from which the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274409
-on-quarter growth rates in Switzerland. It also assesses the informational content of macroeconomic data releases for forecasting of the … for GDP forecasting although their ranking depends on the underlying transformation of monthly indicators from which the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277729
product, which in turn are used as an input in the forecasting process. Such forecasts reflect and incorporate the flow of … in a synchronous way. The forecasting power of the dynamic factor model is compared with those of several other models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013483516