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hypothesis and volatility approaches using monthly data on stock market indices from January, 2005 to April, 2016. Parametric …-form efficient. The volatility results suggest that monthly stock returns of OPEC countries are volatile, with Qatar being most … volatile and shocks to volatility of stock returns are asymmetric. The implications of this are that: first, investors should …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012229197
We retrieve news stories and earnings announcements of the S&P 100 constituents from two professional news providers … which to analyze the link between news and asset price dynamics. We detect the sentiment of news stories using a dictionary … information measures on daily realized volatility and select them by penalized regression. Then, we perform a forecasting exercise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011995242
. News volume and volatility amplify this attention gap. Attention appears causally related to perceived proximity: first … fewer flights after the outbreak. Finally, local attention predicts volatility, bid-ask spreads and nonlocal attention, not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705617
The study examines whether the long-run validity of PPP holds in some major advanced and developing economies. The study employed the smooth time-varying cointegration (TVC) and time-varying detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) methodology, and we are not aware of any study that has applied TVC...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015074790
We assume that some consistent estimator of an equilibrium relation between non-stationary fractionally integrated series is used in a first step to compute residuals (or differences thereof). We propose to apply the semiparametric log-periodogram regression to the (differenced) residuals in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323712
A non-stationary regression model for financial returns is examined theoretically in this paper. Volatility dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010307938
particularly interested in volatility modelling and forecasting given their importance for FOREX dealers. Compared with previous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271381
In this paper, we challenge the traditional assumption of a linear relationship between exchange rate volatility and … volatility positively and significantly influences economic growth when growth in government spending is below 6 percent. Above … this 6 percent threshold, volatility exerts an insignificant effect on economic growth. In light of the adoption of a free …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157206
additional sources of randomness like stochastic volatility models. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310517
This paper considers estimation and inference for varying-coefficient models with nonstationary regressors. We propose a nonparametric estimation method using penalized splines, which achieves the same optimal convergence rate as kernel-based methods, but enjoys computation advantages. Utilizing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319206