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This paper presents a New Keynesian DSGE model with inventory holding firms. The model distinguishes between goods and materials, for both production as well as for inventories. The more detailed treatment of inventory holdings offers new insights into the determinants of business cycles before...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333480
This paper introduces inventories in an otherwise standard dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model. Firms accumulate inventories to facilitate sales, but face a cost of doing so in terms of costly storage of intermediate goods. Based on U.S. data we estimate the parameters of our model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335877
Much of macroeconomics is concerned with the allocation of physical capital, human capital, and labor over time and across people. The decisions on savings, education, and labor supply that generate these variables are made within families. Yet the family (and decision-making in families) is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011479320
We identify total factor productivity (TFP) news shocks using standard VAR methodology and document a new stylized fact: in response to news about future increases in TFP, inventories rise and comove positively with other major macroeconomic aggregates. We show that the standard theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214195
We examine the dynamic effects and empirical role of TFP news shocks in the context of frictions in financial markets. We document two new facts using VAR methods. First, a (positive) shock to future TFP generates a significant decline in various credit spread indicators considered in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012425634
Using a two-sector estimated DSGE model with a financial channel we show the sector where TFP news arrives matters for its propagation and quantitative importance. Anticipated increases in TFP expected to arrive in the consumption sector are expansionary while those in the investment sector are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317027
This paper introduces inventories in an otherwise standard Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model (DSGE) of the business cycle. Firms accumulate inventories to facilitate sales, but face a cost of doing so in terms of costly storage of intermediate goods. The paper's main contribution is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281471
We document changes to the pattern of technology shocks and their propagation in post-war U.S. data. Using an agnostic identification procedure, we show that the dominant shock driving total factor productivity (TFP) is akin to a diffusion or news shock and that shock transmission has changed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015096866
I construct a novel measure of household uncertainty based on survey data for European countries. I show that household … uncertainty shocks are not universally like negative demand shocks. Notably, household uncertainty shocks are largely inflationary … role in the transmission of household uncertainty to inflation. I develop an Overlapping Generations New Keynesian model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012614199
We study the development of bank lending in the U.S. after four large jumps in uncertainty using an event study … uncertainty. Lending by smaller banks is also less responsive to increases in uncertainty. Banks with a higher capitalization …-bank holding company. This heterogeneity across banks suggests that declines in bank lending following increases in uncertainty are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370111