nonlinear factor models designed to infer recessionary episodes of heterogeneous deepness, and fitted to the largest advanced … updated as soon as new regional data is released, as we show by measuring the economic effects of coronavirus. Second, it … provides a consistent narrative of the main regional contributors of world economy's weakness. Third, it allows to perform …

nonlinear factor models designed to infer recessionary episodes of heterogeneous deepness, and fitted to the largest advanced … updated as soon as new regional data is released, as we show by measuring the economic effects of coronavirus. Second, it … provides a consistent narrative of the main regional contributors of world economy's weakness. Third, it allows to perform …

-examine the effects of a housing crises on the business cycle based on historical crises. Then we estimate the international spill …, international transmission effects then would lead to significant losses of GDP growth in several other countries, notably in Europe. …

common international drivers, such as the Federal Reserve Bank monetary policy, and international oil prices. …

growth in other emerging and frontier markets and a 0.6 percentage point increase in world growth at the end of three years …

unterschiedlich ist. Während die Konjunktur in den Vereinigten Staaten bis zuletzt kräftig war, befindet sich die Wirtschaft im … Impulse etwas an Fahrt verliert, belebt sich die Konjunktur in Europa und Japan mit Abklingen der bremsenden Wirkungen des …