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Term structures of asset prices and returns
Backus, David; Boyarchenko, Nina; Chernov, Mikhail - 2016
We explore the term structures of claims to a variety of cash flows: U.S. government bonds (claims to dollars), foreign government bonds (claims to foreign currency), inflation-adjusted bonds (claims to the price index), and equity (claims to future equity indexes or dividends). Average term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538004
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An information-theoretical analysis of budget-constrained nonpoint source pollution control
Kaplan, Jonathan D.; Howitt, Richard E.; Farzin, Y. Hossein - 2001
learning. To overcome the inherent ill-posed statistical problem in NPS pollution data the sequential entropy filter is applied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011608793
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Growth of strategy sets, entropy and nonstationary bounded recall
Neyman, Abraham; Okada, Daijiro - 2005
This paper initiates the study of long term interactions where players' bounded rationality varies over time. Time dependent bounded rationality is reflected in part in the number $\psi(t)$ of distinct strategies in the first $t$-stages. We examine how the growth rate of $\psi_i(t)$ affects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266360
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Using transfer entropy to measure information flows between financial markets
Dimpfl, Thomas; Peter, Franziska J. - 2012
We use transfer entropy to quantify information flows between financial markets and propose a suitable bootstrap … procedure for statistical inference. Transfer entropy is a model-free measure designed as the Kullback-Leibler distance of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318778
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Probabilistic Bounded Relative Error Property for Learning Rare Event Simulation Techniques
Ridder, Ad; Tuffin, Bruno - 2012
In rare event simulation, we look for estimators such that the relative accuracy of the output is ''controlled'' when the rarity is getting more and more critical. Different robustness properties have been defined in the literature, that an estimator is expected to satisfy. Though, those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326256
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Feature extraction with hybrid neural networks
Wegmann, Georg - 2000
optimizer. The mathematical motivation for such hybrid networks is presented, using the Kolmogorov theory of metric entropy. As … options written on the S&P 500 stock index. While option pricing theory typically requires a highly complex statistical model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301758
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Comparing and evaluating Bayesian predictive distributions of assets returns
Geweke, John; Amisano, Gianni - 2008
Bayesian inference in a time series model provides exact, out-of-sample predictive distributions that fully and coherently incorporate parameter uncertainty. This study compares and evaluates Bayesian predictive distributions from alternative models, using as an illustration five alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605015
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Forecasting with a Bayesian DSGE Model: an application to the euro area
Smets, Frank; Wouters, Raf - 2004
In monetary policy strategies geared towards maintaining price stability conditional and unconditional forecasts of inflation and output play an important role. In this paper we illustrate how modern sticky-price dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, estimated using Bayesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506582
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Distance-related barriers and the internationalisation of Finnish MNES
Lundan, Sarianna M. - 2009
In an integrated global economy, multinational enterprises (MNEs) have more opportunities than ever to reap the benefits of broader markets and more possibilities for an extensive division of labour between different locations. In spite of this, the evidence on the spread of the activities of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273008
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A Non-Parametric and Entropy Based Analysis of the Relationship between the VIX and S&P 500
Allen, David E.; McAleer, Michael; Powell, Robert; … - 2013
sets a series of non-parametric based tests utilising entropy based metrics. These suggest that the PDFs and CDFs of these … two return distributions change shape in various subsample periods. The entropy and MI statistics suggest that the degree … most recent period from 2011 to 2012. The entropy based non-parametric tests of the equivalence of the two distributions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326508