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In this article we evaluate the pricing performance of the rather simple but revolutionary Black-Scholes model and one of the more complex techniques (neural networks) on the European-style S&P Index call and put options over the period of 1.6.2006 till 8.6.2007. Our results on call options show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322207
subsequent local volatility surface is never considered. In this article, we develop a deep learning approach for interpolation … performance. A novel component is the use of the Dupire formula to enforce bounds on the local volatility associated with option …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200615
In this paper we apply statistical inference techniques to build neural network models which are able to explain the prices of call options written on the German stock index DAX. By testing for the explanatory power of several input variables serving as network inputs, some insight into the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299651
Many economic and econometric applications require the integration of functions lacking a closed form antiderivative, which is therefore a task that can only be solved by numerical methods. We propose a new family of probability densities that can be used as substitutes and have the property of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301753
Neural networks (NN) and fuzzy logic systems (FLS) are used successfully for financial forecasting, credit rating and portfolio management. In search for more sophisticated modeling techniques a mixture of NN and FLS has proved to be worth consideration. We propose the novel constructive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301758
, especially on the BS implied volatility. Implied binomial trees (IBT) models capture the variations of the implied volatility … known as volatility smile. They provide a discrete approximation to the continuous risk neutral process for the underlying … Barle and Cakici (BC). After the formation of IBT we can estimate the implied local volatility and the state price density …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275907
We explore convenient analytic properties of distributions constructed as mixtures of scaled and shifted t-distributions. A feature that makes this family particularly desirable for econometric applications is that it possesses closed-form expressions for its anti-derivatives (e.g., the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293996
volatility of the S&P 500 and FTSE 100 indexes. As a proxy for daily volatility, we consider a consistent and unbiased estimator … of the integrated volatility that is computed from high frequency intra-day returns. We also consider a simple algorithm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807392
European call options are priced when the uncertainty driving the stock price follows the V. G. stochastic process (Madan and Seneta 1990). The incomplete markets equilibrium change of measure is approximated and identified using the log return mean. variance, and kurtosis. An exact equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290463
stochastic volatility model and Brent's iterative root-finding method for the calculation of implied volatilities. The numerical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200434