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Musk and Trump tweets. A control group of all Dow Jones companies with earnings releases on Twitter is utilized. We find …This paper is an evaluation of long-term cumulative returns (CAR's) based on Twitter broadcasts by highly influential … market agents. We look at the information content of Elon Musk, CEO of SpaceX, Tesla and Twitter Inc. and the former US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014317110
The trade war initiated by the Trump administration is the largest since the US imposed the Smoot-Hawley tariffs in the …. Our results highlight the political salience of the trade war: US trade war tariffs boosted Trump’s support but foreign … retaliation hurt Trump. In particular, the pro-Trump effects of US trade war tariffs were crucial for Trump crossing the recount …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013266634
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011696642
We study the robustness of the Lerner symmetry result in an open economy New Keynesian model with price rigidities. While the Lerner symmetry result, i.e. the absence of allocative and trade-flow effects of an equally-sized change in import tariff and export subsidy, holds up approximately for a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012182825
This paper investigates the long run and short run relationships of monetary policy, inflation and economic growth in Pakistan using co-integration and causality analysis during the period 0f 1972-2010. A large number of empirical studies on the relationships of monetary policy and inflation are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011938320
There is an increasing tension between the Iranian Government and the west on an increasingly likely European oil embargo and the Iranian threat to close the Strait of Hormuz. The main question is: What will happen to the international oil prices in the case of shocks in the flow of Iranian oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294407
In this note, we use multivariate models estimated with Bayesian techniques and an out-ofsample approach to investigate whether money growth Granger-causes output growth in the United States. We find surprisingly strong evidence for a money-output link over the 1960-2005 period. However, further...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299137
We use Bayesian estimation techniques to investigate whether money growth Granger-causes inflation in the United States. We test for Granger-causality out-of-sample and find, perhaps surprisingly given recent theoretical arguments, that including money growth in simple VAR models of inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299139
We use a mean-adjusted Bayesian VAR model as an out-of-sample forecasting tool to test whether money growth Granger-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly strong evidence that including money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299140
This paper investigates the short run as well the long run relationships between money supply, inflation, government expenditure and economic growth by employing the Error Correction Mechanism (ECM) and Johansen co-integration test respectively for the case of Cyprus using annual data from 1980...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011310235