Showing 1 - 10 of 1,761
Market analysts and central banks often use the implied volatility of FX options as an indicator of expected exchange … deviate the value of implied volatility from the exchange rate variability expected by the market. These biasing factors are … one month. However, implied volatility provides a biased estimate, and does not encompass the information included in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322417
evolves over time and that it is different under different market conditions defined by exchange rate volatility. Further, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322440
choices matter for output volatility and the medium-term level of inflation. Greater monetary independence is associated with … lower output volatility while greater exchange rate stability implies greater output volatility, which can be mitigated if a … inflation rate. We find that trilemma policy configurations affect output volatility through the investment or trade channel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331079
comparing the short-term (i.e. month-to-month) volatility of New Zealand's exchange rate to other economies, on a trade …-term volatility out of the economies included in the analysis. Factors that affect the expected relative return on New Zealand dollar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115625
This paper explores the impact of New Zealand's exchange rate variability on the tradable sector, and policy options for dampening exchange rate variability. It finds that exchange rate variability in the medium term is likely to have a negative impact on the tradable sector. However, the link...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115626
increases exchange rate volatility (and spread) for the next minutes but that intervention days show a lower degree of … volatility (and spread) than non-intervention days. We also show for intraday data that the price impact of interbank order flow … position taking, the targeted exchange rate range holds and volatility, spread and price impact go down. Overall, the credible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264306
This paper studies drivers of high-frequency (daily) dynamics of the South African rand vis-à-vis the dollar from January 2001 to July 2007. We find strong nonlinear effects of commodity prices, perceived country and emerging market risk premium and changes in the dollar-euro exchange rate on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273784
We investigate the impact of the European Central Bank's monetary policy announcements on the level and volatility of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277736
The study analyses the interaction between the trading behaviour of 1,024 moving average and momentum models and the fluctuations of the yen/dollar exchange rate. The paper shows first that these models would have exploited exchange rate trends quite profitably between 1976 and 1999, and then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435219
The paper investigates the profitability of 1,024 moving average and momentum models and their components in the yen-dollar market. It turns out that all models would have been profitable between 1976 and 2007. The models produce more single losses than single profits. At the same time, the size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435249