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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011695607
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Economists have long emphasized the importance of expectations in determining macroeconomic outcomes Yet there has been almost no recent effort to model actual empirical expectations data; instead macroeconomists usually simply assume expectations are rational This paper shows that while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293441
explaining the deviations of household inflation and unemployment expectations from the rational expectations benchmark …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293481
High rates of unemployment entail substantial costs to the working population in terms of reduced subjective well … sensitivity of subjective well-being to fluctuations in unemployment rates is much lower in the public sector than in the private … unemployment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390631
In the past decades several features of U.S. unemployment dynamics have been investigated empirically. The original … focus of research was on the duration of unemployment. In later studies the cyclicality of incidence and duration …, compositional effects and duration dependence of the exit rate out of unemployment have been investigated. Unlike the partial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324727
. This model yields a simple relationshipbetween (i) the unemployment rate, (ii) the value of non-market time, and (iii … andallow for measurement error. The estimated wage dispersion and mismatch for theUS is consistent with an unemployment rate of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325738
We build an analytically and computationally tractable stochastic equilibrium model of unemployment in heterogeneous … countercyclical unemployment, and is simultaneously consistent with procyclical reallocation, countercyclical separations and a … negatively-sloped Beveridge curve. Moreover, the model exhibits unemployment duration dependence, which (when calibrated to long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331219
We exploit a policy discontinuity at U.S. state borders to identify the effects of unemployment insurance policies on … unemployment. Our estimates imply that most of the persistent increase in unemployment during the Great Recession can be accounted … for by the unprecedented extensions of unemployment benefit eligibility. In contrast to the existing recent literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333564
Data from the 2009 Internet Survey of the Health and Retirement Study show that many U.S. households experienced large capital losses in housing and financial wealth, and that 5% of respondents lost their job during the Great Recession. As a consequence of these shocks, many households reduced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605807