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future. In addition, we draw on some contemporary measures of forecast quality (prediction-realization diagram, test of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013201276
/Taylor/Shroff/Sougiannis (2002), our approach allows daily estimation, using only publicly available information at that date. We then estimate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316291
This paper presents an empirical approach that combines competing paradigms of modeling in empirical capital market research. The approach simultaneously estimates the explanatory power of fundamentals, expectations, and historic yield patterns, making it possible to test the extent to which the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011733801
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316265
This paper presents a Heterogeneous Agent Model of a financial market with chartist and fundamentalist traders that exhibit bounded rationality and short-term thinking to explain the effect of under and overreaction to news. The existence of the Market Maker's finite price adjustment speed leads...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323743
We analyze the interaction of stock market movements and politics in Germany. In contrast to the empirical evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260493
I use a time-varying parameter model in order to study the predictability of monthly real stock returns in Germany over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260497
strategies, least of all when estimation risk is taken into account. Although there is some (weak) evidence of stock market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011428771
This paper investigates the role of published stock recommendations in print and online media as investor sentiment in the near-term German stock market. In line with extant literature on other sentiment measures, vector autoregressions reveal that past stock returns drive today's sentiment, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319293
including monthly stock price indices for five EU countries (Germany, France, the Netherlands, Ireland and the UK) as well as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274513